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The probability of the U.S. government ending the shutdown surged to 85% this week.
On November 10, according to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of “the U.S. government shutdown ending from November 8 to 11” on that platform is currently reported at 40%. The probability for the shutdown ending between November 12 and 15 is 45%; the probability for it ending after November 16 is 17%. Previously, Trump called for an end to the shutdown and announced a “big coin” policy of $2,000 payments to each person.