【$BTC Signal】Two-way Order Battle! 1H Oversold Rebound vs 4H Downtrend Channel, Sniping Key Breakthrough!

$BTC The 1H level has formed a double pin bottom in the 66462-66617 range, RSI(1H) has entered the oversold zone(40.85), indicating a technical rebound demand. However, the 4H level remains in a downtrend channel, with the latest candlestick closing near EMA20(66640), and bulls and bears are fiercely contesting here. Open interest remains stable, with no signs of panic liquidation, but buy-side order book depth is clearly dominant (imbalance of 24.43%), suggesting major players are supporting the price below. This is a typical end of consolidation, about to choose a direction.

🎯Direction: Wait and see(Two-way orders)

⚡Breakout Long Entry Order: 67250 (Reason: Steady above 1H EMA20(67642) and previous hour’s high)

⚡Pullback Long Entry Order: 66200 (Reason: Support at previous double pin bottom, previous low on 4H)

🛑Long Stop Loss: 65800 (Reason: Break below key double bottom structure, ATR(1429) lower band)

🚀Long Target 1: 68200 (Reason: Previous high on 1H and EMA50 resistance)

🚀Long Target 2: 69200 (Reason: Fibonacci 0.5 retracement on 4H and channel upper band)

⚡Breakdown Short Entry Order: 66400 (Reason: Valid break below dense trading zone on 1H and new intraday low)

🛑Short Stop Loss: 67200 (Reason: Re-entering the oscillation zone upper boundary and above 1H EMA20)

🚀Short Target 1: 65500 (Reason: Extension of 4H channel lower band)

🚀Short Target 2: 64500 (Reason: Support area at previous wave low)

🛡Trade Management:

- Position suggestion: Light position (Reason: Direction unclear, it’s a breakout battle, higher risk)

- Execution strategy: When either order triggers, cancel the opposite order immediately. After reaching target 1, move stop loss to entry price. After short target 1 is hit, move stop loss to entry price. If the price oscillates within the order zone for more than 4 hours without triggering, cancel all orders and reassess.

Depth logic: Current market logic suggests “price decline, combined with position volume analysis,” but open interest remains stable, indicating it’s not large-scale long liquidation, more like a shakeout. The 1H RSI shows a bottom divergence pattern, buy-side depth advantage is clear, so rebound probability is slightly higher. But the 4H trend is still weak, we must wait for the price to make its own choice. We don’t predict, only prepare plans, letting the market tell us the direction.

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