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History does not repeat, but cycles tend to follow similar rhythms!!
Looking back at Bitcoin's 15-year bull and bear cycles:
Bitcoin has fallen from over $120,000 to around $60,000, with a maximum drawdown of nearly 50%. If you only look at the numbers, this is a significant shakeout; but when viewed within the 15-year historical cycle, it actually appears more “restrained.”
Reviewing several key declines:
2011 saw a 94% drop, 2015 an 83% drop, 2018 an 84% drop, and 2022 a 77% drop.
Compared to these, this round’s retracement is noticeably milder.
But the issue isn’t about “how much it fell,”

Waiting for a rebound in a bear market before selling, waiting for a correction in a bull market before buying—these mindsets are all wrong! If you have this mentality, you basically won't make any money. Let me give you an example. In a bear market, you buy $100,000 worth of Bitcoin, and it drops to $50,000. You want to wait for a rebound to sell, but usually, you'll end up getting cut in half, and the more you hold, the deeper you're trapped, until you don't even want to look at your account anymore. And in a bull market, you see $60,000 and hesitate to buy, thinking you'll wait for a correc

Do you think the reason NFTs sell for high prices is really because they are "well-drawn"? You're wrong.
If you go learn to draw just because of that, you're wasting your life.
The art world, entertainment industry, stock market, sneaker culture, and crypto world are all the same. When the scythe wants to lift you up, even if it's just a pile of crap,
They will push the price up with their left hand while holding it with their right.
And then there's always a bunch of clueless newbies who find reasons to justify it,
Using all kinds of self-brainwashing methods to tell everyone "It should be th

Profitable trades that are not held can mostly be attributed to a dual problem of mindset and cognition. When there is a slight profit, traders are eager to lock in gains, fearing a profit reversal. Essentially, this reflects a lack of certainty in market judgment and a lack of confidence in holding positions. Coupled with the alternating pull of greed and fear, small profits are quickly taken, while small losses are stubbornly held onto, violating the principle of "letting profits run." Insufficient execution, overly large positions, and frequent monitoring of the market can all amplify anxie

This knowledge point has proven to be consistently effective! Suitable for phased bottom-fishing!
Which type of volume-price relationship during a pullback allows you to determine whether it's a good time to buy the dip just by looking at trading volume?
Basic concept: An increase in trading volume usually indicates growing disagreement between bulls and bears. Conversely, a decrease in volume suggests that the disagreement is diminishing and gradually becoming unified.
Based on this concept, a typical example is when you observe:
1. Daily trading volume decreasing consecutively (note: it must

BTC, BCH, and ETH have no issues with the adjustments, and they will continue to rise and break through later. Among mainstream coins, prioritize buying Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BCH.
Reference standards for 100x potential coins:
1. Good fundamentals, belonging to hot sectors, preferably sector leaders;
2. Strong storytelling ability, sustainable ecological development;
3. Market cap less than $1 billion, preferably less than $100 million;
4. New projects launched between October 2022 and 2023;
5. Investment from well-known major institutions;
6. Price not more than 5 times the inst

Buying coins mainly follows the big whales; institutional buying is the key to making steady profits.
Here's Gusu's opinion on the following coins:
1. XRP, a clear bull, hasn't been pumped for years; when it does, it can increase over 10 times.
2. ETC, the predecessor of Ethereum, a passionate battle vehicle with no real concept left—only whales remain. Whales are the biggest concept; it's a 10x coin.
3. Doge, always gets a big boost in every bull market, and this has happened in all three cycles.
4. DYDX, high recognition, fully adjusted during the bear market, and a 10x increase in t

In the next 10 years, there are actually only three types of people who possess truly high-quality assets.
First: Those who can harness AI.
AI is amplifying an individual's capabilities by 10 times, even 100 times. People who know how to use AI learn faster, make decisions more quickly, and produce more. In the future, many will become "super individuals," with one person being equivalent to a company.
Second: Those who understand capital.
In the future world, returns from labor will slow down, while returns from capital will accelerate. Corporate profits will concentrate at the top, and wealt

RWA is a long-term positive for BTC
But this bear market is a short-term negative for BTC
Because there is some capital diversion in the short term
Originally, the core assets and safe-haven assets in the crypto world were the absolute leader BTC
Now, after RWA brings major assets like U.S. Treasury bonds, gold, and the top seven tech stocks onto the chain for trading
In the short term, BTC is no longer the most resilient safe-haven asset
In the long run, RWA is helping BTC "expand the source of incremental funds" #我在Gate广场过新年