January 7th, according to MarketWatch, prediction market Polymarket refused to pay out on bets regarding “the United States invading Venezuela” and claimed that events that occurred over the weekend did not constitute an “invasion,” after which Polymarket customers expressed strong dissatisfaction. According to Polymarket’s official website, the result for “US invasion of Venezuela before December 31” is currently determined as “no,” with trading volume on this prediction reaching $2.76 million. An anonymous user posted on the Polymarket website questioning: “So what exactly constitutes an invasion?” and referred to the company as “Polyscam.” Another user stated: “Polymarket has devolved into arbitrary rulings. Words can be arbitrarily redefined, divorced from any accepted meaning, and facts are directly ignored. A military invasion, kidnapping of a country’s leader, and takeover of a nation are apparently not being recognized as an invasion—this is clearly absurd.” Another wrote: “Are you joking?” while another countered: “So this doesn’t count as an invasion just because the operation was quick and the death toll was low?” (The New York Times cited a Venezuelan official saying the death toll from this raid was 80.) Polymarket explained on its website that “the market refers to US military operations aimed at establishing control. When Trump mentioned negotiations ongoing with the Venezuelan government, he stated the US would ‘run’ Venezuela—this statement alone is insufficient to classify this ‘raid and withdrawal’ operation to capture Maduro as constituting an invasion.” MarketWatch sought clarification from Polymarket but received no response. The reporter also sent emails directly to its founder and CEO, 28-year-old crypto billionaire Shayne Coplan, and similarly received no reply.
Polymarketはベネズエラへの侵略を否定し、コミュニティから強い不満を引き起こしました
January 7th, according to MarketWatch, prediction market Polymarket refused to pay out on bets regarding “the United States invading Venezuela” and claimed that events that occurred over the weekend did not constitute an “invasion,” after which Polymarket customers expressed strong dissatisfaction. According to Polymarket’s official website, the result for “US invasion of Venezuela before December 31” is currently determined as “no,” with trading volume on this prediction reaching $2.76 million. An anonymous user posted on the Polymarket website questioning: “So what exactly constitutes an invasion?” and referred to the company as “Polyscam.” Another user stated: “Polymarket has devolved into arbitrary rulings. Words can be arbitrarily redefined, divorced from any accepted meaning, and facts are directly ignored. A military invasion, kidnapping of a country’s leader, and takeover of a nation are apparently not being recognized as an invasion—this is clearly absurd.” Another wrote: “Are you joking?” while another countered: “So this doesn’t count as an invasion just because the operation was quick and the death toll was low?” (The New York Times cited a Venezuelan official saying the death toll from this raid was 80.) Polymarket explained on its website that “the market refers to US military operations aimed at establishing control. When Trump mentioned negotiations ongoing with the Venezuelan government, he stated the US would ‘run’ Venezuela—this statement alone is insufficient to classify this ‘raid and withdrawal’ operation to capture Maduro as constituting an invasion.” MarketWatch sought clarification from Polymarket but received no response. The reporter also sent emails directly to its founder and CEO, 28-year-old crypto billionaire Shayne Coplan, and similarly received no reply.