Gate News Report, March 12 — Data from the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket shows that in the past seven hours, an address with five wins in the geopolitical sector wagered $10,000 on the outcome that “Iran’s leadership will not change before May,” with an opening price of 67.6¢ and a current price of 66.5¢. According to the settlement rules of this market, if Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer the actual leader of Iran by the specified date, the market will settle as “Yes.” Reuters reported on the 11th that U.S. intelligence assessments believe the Iranian government “does not face collapse,” despite Ali Khamenei being targeted in attacks and killed, Iran’s power structure remains operational. Under ongoing airstrikes, Iran has simultaneously strengthened domestic control. Iran’s police chief warned that anyone responding to Trump’s call to protest will be considered “enemies rather than protesters.” Based on this trader’s past trading patterns, they are not betting on whether the event will actually happen but may close positions for profit or loss at certain points after opening. Account address: 0xbe482cd6e5183be8767f03b48ebc3ff35769683f.
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