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The central bank's latest forecasts paint an interesting picture for wage dynamics over the next few years. They're expecting private-sector regular pay to climb 3.5% year-over-year by the end of 2025, which is pretty solid momentum. But here's the twist – that growth rate is projected to cool down to 3.2% by late 2026, dip further to 2.9% in Q4 2027, before ticking back up to 3.2% as we close out 2028.
What's notable here? The trajectory suggests wage pressures might ease temporarily in 2027 before rebounding. This kind of pattern could signal shifting inflation dynamics and potentially influence monetary policy decisions down the road. For anyone tracking macro trends or crypto's correlation with traditional finance cycles, these wage growth forecasts offer clues about future liquidity conditions and risk appetite in global markets.