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Last Train to the Bull Market? Understand These Five Signals and Don't Be the "Bag Holder"!


Each bull market cycle often doesn't end with a dramatic crash, flash collapse, or bloodbath, but rather with subtle signals that secretly signal trouble.
At this point, smart money has already exited, while enthusiastic retail investors remain fully invested, dreaming of "another surge."
Want to exit the bull market unscathed and avoid being the last to buy in at the top? Keep an eye on these five key signals:
1. Macro Trends: Global Liquidity "Reverses"
When the Federal Reserve announces "interest rate hikes" or "balance sheet reductions," it's like dropping a boulder into the global financial markets, indicating tightening liquidity;
A strengthening US Dollar Index (DXY) spells trouble for risk assets; cooling inflation expectations are clear signs of capital withdrawal from risk markets.
2. Market Behavior: Mainstream "Lying Flat," Altcoins "Celebrating"
In the late stage of a bull market, mainstream coins often trade sideways while altcoins surge—this is usually market makers dumping holdings, while retail investors mistakenly believe the era of "hundredfold coins" has arrived;
Increased exchange traffic and new coins launching are not signs of profit opportunities but tactics for project teams to cash out while the market is hot.
3. On-Chain Data: Whales "Running Away"
Large inflows of Bitcoin into exchanges indicate whales preparing to cash out;
Frequent transfers from long-term holding wallets suggest HODLers are also starting to sell;
Spikes in Gas fees and network congestion often aren't signs of market prosperity but frantic retail panic buying at the top.
4. Public Sentiment: Overwhelming Optimism
Rumors of the "next hundredfold coin" spread in communities, even friends who usually don't trade crypto ask for buying advice;
Media hype and experts calling for outrageous target prices—at this point, the market is likely already at its peak.
5. Abnormal Emotions: Greed Overriding Rationality
When everyone is immersed in joy and no one talks about risks, danger is near;
Markets don't warn you in advance of a top—they suddenly turn around when you're most excited.
Want to accurately grasp the rhythm of the bull market and avoid "traps"? Follow me for market analysis and to steer clear of investment pitfalls!
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