#BTC资金流动性 Monday Market Observation | Market Rhythm and Risk Control Focus

At the start of the new week, the market shows a very regular rhythm: most of the time during the Asian session, it is in a stalemate, slowly rebounding before the US session starts, and as soon as the US market opens, it is prone to turn downwards. This pattern has been repeating frequently recently, and it will be necessary to keep an eye on it this week.

To be honest, the global situation is quite complicated right now, with geopolitical conflicts occurring one after another, and the market is experiencing significant risk-averse sentiment. If the situation escalates one day, the market may experience significant fluctuations. Therefore, when trading, it is essential to think clearly—how to set stop-loss orders, how to control positions, and not to be caught off guard by sudden market movements.

From a technical perspective, $BTC formed a bearish candle with upper and lower shadows on the daily chart yesterday, indicating intense competition between bulls and bears. On the hourly chart, the price is fluctuating around the range of 87500-89000 and is still in a consolidation phase. The hourly MACD histogram remains negative, with the DIF and DEA diverging downwards, showing some short-term weakness; the RSI is at 46.4, which is neutral but slightly weak, indicating a generally cautious market sentiment.

The price is currently below the EMA7, and both EMA7 and EMA30 are trending downwards, indicating a strong short-term bearish momentum. However, don't be too pessimistic—the price is still stable above the EMA120, and the medium-term bullish framework has not been completely destroyed.

The trading strategy is considered as follows: within the range of 85000-90600, aim for high sell and low buy. At the lower edge of the range (around 85000), accumulate long positions on dips, and at the upper edge of the range (around 90600), look for opportunities to short. Each trade must have strict stop-loss measures in place to control the risk exposure.

Specific reference:
Long at the range of 86900-87900, with the target looking towards 88900-89900.
Long position in the range of 2900-2950, targeting 3030-3080.

Remember, changes in liquidity often amplify volatility, so be particularly attentive during this period.