2025-12-22 12:20:54

#数字资产市场洞察 After spending these years in the crypto world, the most common phenomenon I have observed is retail investors repeatedly falling into traps - unable to distinguish between "Whipsaw" and "dump".

$ZKP Recently, someone urgently asked me, "The coin has dropped 30%, can we buy in now?" I took a look at the K-line chart and directly said: Don't buy in, if you do, you'll be deeply trapped.

$BEAT He took the dump signal as a whipsaw opportunity. This mistake is really too common.

A coin rose from 2U to 5U and then began to adjust. A large number of retail investors saw the decline and shouted, "Whipsaw is coming," desperately pouring money in. What was the result? The more they bought, the more they lost. In fact, this is not a Whipsaw at all—this is a dump.

High volume at a high position, the price can't rise, then suddenly a cliff-like drop, falling directly from 5U to 3U, followed by a rebound to lure in the last retail investors, catching them all in one net.

This is what a real Whipsaw looks like:

During the decline, trading volume shrinks, while it expands during the rebound; as long as the key support level holds—this is how the main force is whipsawing the floating chips.

The characteristics of dumping are increased volume during declines and decreased volume during rebounds, with support levels being directly breached.

Just remember three key points:

Decrease in volume during a drop, increase in volume during a rise = Whipsaw signal

Increased volume during declines, decreased volume during rebounds = dump signal

The rhythm of Whipsaw is slow decline followed by quick rises, while dump is a rapid crash with weak rebounds.

The rules of the crypto world are that straightforward – either get cut or learn to see through the market logic. Learning to distinguish between these two trends is the key to avoiding the deadliest buy-in.

BEAT-24.8%

XPIN-2.82%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

17 Likes

Reward
17
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

GateUser-ccc36bc5

· 12-23 03:49

Oh really, that guy who did margin replenishment is incredible, wanting to buy the dip when it dropped from 5 to 3, it's not easy to survive till now. What was said this time is correct, dumping with higher trade volumes and falling, and when it whipsaws it all reverses, I’ve fallen into that pit before too. The biggest problem with retail investors is not being able to distinguish; they see a rebound and think they’ve turned things around, but in the end, a bull trap comes and directly plays people for suckers. Now that I think about it, those coins that stubbornly held the support level only to be smashed through are really tragic, thinking the market maker was stabilizing the market. Alright, remember, slow falls and quick pumps are what whipsaw is, and quick crashes with weak rebounds just wait to be trapped. By the way, have you encountered a situation where a volume-dropped rebound can still rise? It feels like this theory is not always accurate. Instead of researching this, it's better to directly look at the holdings Address; once a Whale moves, everything is exposed. Agreed, the crypto world is just that cruel; if you can't see through the market, don’t play, as the losses are all money.

View OriginalReply0

GreenCandleCollector

· 12-22 12:59

Ha, it's this theory again. I just want to ask, will it really hold at the support level when it falls? --- It seems like I understand when you put it that way, but it's still easy to be smashed through in practice. --- It's easy to say, but it's strange if a retail investor can actually recognize it. --- I just want to know how many people can really distinguish between these two; I haven't been able to. --- The key is that the rebound bull trap moment is just incredible. --- Understanding the theory and making money are two different things; that's the most heart-wrenching part of the crypto world. --- This higher trade volumes trick has been around for so many years, yet there are still people falling for it. --- The problem is, will the market maker let you comfortably see it? Smiling. --- If even the support level is unreliable, what can we say about the whipsaw signals? --- After being trapped so many times, I've finally realized that it's better to go for a Short Position than to watch the market.

View OriginalReply0

ShitcoinArbitrageur

· 12-22 12:50

It's the same trap again, and every time someone asks me whether to add more. When looking at the Candlestick, you really need to be more cautious and not be fooled by the Rebound bull trap. --- To be honest, most people can't distinguish between higher trade volumes and lower trade volumes, and then they get played for suckers clean. --- I clearly see that this wave dropped from 5U to 3U, it's just the market maker dumping. Does anyone really believe in the Rebound? Wake up. --- Only dare to act on lower trade volumes falling and higher trade volumes rebounding, avoid the opposite situation directly. It's that simple. --- The most heartbreaking thing in the crypto world is that even if you understand it, it doesn't help; if the capital amount is not enough, you'll still be eaten. --- Whipsaw and dump are worlds apart; many people end up dying right here. --- At the moment of higher trade volumes falling, I know it's going to explode; who would dare to catch it?

View OriginalReply0

BoredStaker

· 12-22 12:43

Seriously, these two are not the same at all. How many people have lost everything because they couldn't tell the difference? The pit that retail investors are most likely to fall into is seeing a fall and then averaging down, without looking at the trade volumes at all. Once the support level is broken, just run. Don't wait for some rebound bull trap, that’s a signal to Be Played for Suckers. The key is still to look at the volumes. If there's a fall with lower trade volumes, then you can average down; if there's a fall with higher trade volumes, just get out. I've also stepped into this pit before, and now I'm surviving based on this logic. How many people are waiting for a rebound? In the end, the rebound is just a way to send people to the slaughter.

View OriginalReply0

TokenomicsDetective

· 12-22 12:42

Really, wanting to do Margin Replenishment after a 30% fall, what's wrong with your brain... the market maker has already dumped everything, okay? --- The key support level has been directly breached and you're still shouting Whipsaw, it's no wonder you're being played for suckers. --- When there's higher trade volumes during a fall, you should run; during a Rebound with lower volumes, you should run even more. I don't know how many people come in the opposite direction. --- Slow declines and fast pumps vs. fast dumps and weak rebounds, to put it simply, just look at the Trading Volume, this thing is the most honest. --- The crypto world is like this: those who can read the market make money, and those who can't are the suckers, there’s no third path. --- When it rose from 2 to 5, you should have sold half, but instead, everyone dreams of it rising to 10, and in the end, they Cut Loss at 3, it's self-inflicted. --- A cliff-like dump followed by a bull trap Rebound, with such a poor method, how can there still be people trapped? --- Seeing through this logic makes you feel invincible, but the next coin gets you played for suckers again, it’s a cycle...

View OriginalReply0

ProbablyNothing

· 12-22 12:38

Damn, it's this trap theory again, I've seen through it a long time ago, it's just the market maker's routine. I’ve done Margin Replenishment before, and looking back now, it was really a foolish move. This wave is explained well, but the key is execution, most people can’t do it at all. The relationship between volume and price is indeed important, but in practice, it’s hard to see clearly, it's all hindsight. As nice as it sounds, retail investors still can’t escape the fate of being played for suckers. I just ask, who can hit the points accurately? Every time they say just learn to distinguish the trends, but when it comes to Cut Loss, it's still a mess. Damn, this thing is just a probability game, no one can make money consistently.

View OriginalReply0

Trending TopicsView More
#2025GateYearEndSummary
73.88K Popularity
#CryptoMarketMildlyRebounds
31.19K Popularity
#GateChristmasVibes
14.32K Popularity
#SantaRallyBegins
4.99K Popularity
#CreatorETFs
3.12K Popularity

Hot Gate FunView More

1
rowrow
MC:$3.5KHolders:1
0.00%
2
SIBSanta's Inevitable Bag
MC:$3.53KHolders:1
0.21%
3
VPNVirtual Private Network
MC:$4.42KHolders:43
4.47%
4
王小雨王小雨
MC:$3.51KHolders:1
0.00%
5
我好想你我好想你
MC:$3.51KHolders:1
0.00%

Sitemap