2025-12-22 23:31:19

Kalshi's inflation forecasting just outpaced Wall Street's predictions—and by a significant margin. The decentralized prediction platform pulled off a 40% accuracy advantage over traditional financial institutions' models. Here's what's happening: while institutional forecasters rely on conventional datasets and slower update cycles, Kalshi's market-driven approach captures real-time sentiment and aggregates distributed intelligence more efficiently. This performance gap signals something bigger—that decentralized platforms can compete directly with legacy finance on their own turf. For traders watching macro trends, this opens up fresh perspectives on how prediction markets might reshape market intelligence itself.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

17 Likes

Reward
17
4
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

just_vibin_onchain

· 20h ago

Wall Street has been slapped in the face again, haha, a 40% gap, doesn't this just mean that traditional institutions are too slow? --- Kalshi is really ruthless this time, market-driven is indeed more reliable than those old-fashioned datasets. --- Decentralization prediction markets are rising, and Wall Street's jobs are really in danger. --- But to be honest, one accurate prediction doesn't mean much; we need to see if it can output consistently in the future. --- It's amazing, collective wisdom really crushes the predictions of individual institutions, this logic is flawless. --- Can we make money this time? Seeking ways to enter a position. --- Wait, is Kalshi reliable? What if it flips next time? --- Real-time aggregation of dispersed information, this is the advantage of Web3, it should have been like this a long time ago.

View OriginalReply0

BoredWatcher

· 12-22 23:59

Wall Street has flipped again, laughing to death, this time being badly beaten by a Decentralization platform. --- 40% advantage difference? If this is really Kalshi's data, I would believe it, but the fact that collective wisdom crushes institutional tricks really deserves some reflection. --- Ha, the decentralized prediction market finally has some remarkable achievements, no longer just blowing hot air. --- Real-time sentiment aggregation is more accurate than slow data? Interesting, it feels like TradFi's methods need to change. --- Kalshi's move this time is really fierce, directly hitting Wall Street's pain point. --- Wait, how is the 40% accuracy advantage calculated? Let's not exaggerate again.

View OriginalReply0

BTCBeliefStation

· 12-22 23:57

The folks on Wall Street really got slapped in the face, Kalshi directly flipped a 40% advantage, this wave is something! --- To be honest, I've already noticed that decentralized prediction markets are smarter than TradFi, but no one listens. --- Real-time sentiment capture is indeed a skill, while the institutions are still fiddling with their outdated models. --- Is the prediction market going to reshape everything this time? I'm a bit too excited but also a bit scared. --- But can Kalshi maintain such precision output? I hope it’s not just a flash in the pan in the end.

View OriginalReply0

DegenWhisperer

· 12-22 23:43

Wall Street has been slapped in the face again, this time by the on-chain market... a 40% gap is a bit ridiculous. --- Wait, is Kalshi really that powerful? I feel like I haven't paid much attention to it before. --- To put it bluntly, it's the wisdom of the crowd crushing the old-school institutions, that's the true meaning of Web3. --- The prediction market is indeed the next big opportunity, those who enter a position early will make a fortune. --- By the way, when will old investors accept the fact that they are beaten by Algorithm... --- Real-time aggregation > database query, simple and straightforward but effective. --- Fortunately, I didn't fully bet on Wall Street's prediction, almost got played for suckers.

View OriginalReply0