#美联储回购协议计划 What is the market up to lately? Just look at the numbers and you'll understand.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged in January next year is as high as 81%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is only 18%. Don't think this is just theoretical - behind this expectation is a real trading volume of about $49.28 million supporting it. Judgments made with large amounts of money are often the most referential.

In simple terms, institutions and smart money are saying the same thing: "Interest rates won't be lowered that quickly." The trends of mainstream crypto assets like $BTC and $ETH will also be affected as a result.

The insights for retail investors are even more straightforward—don't expect a significant interest rate cut surprise on the first day of the new year. When formulating trading strategies, it is essential to factor in the "prolonged high interest" scenario as a high-probability script. The collective consensus in the market is to stay put, and we need to keep pace with this rhythm.