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The fall of alts this time is really severe. Since last October, the market capitalization has evaporated by more than $580 billion, and the total market cap is only $1.19 trillion now. The $19 billion liquidation event is still fresh in memory, and currently, only 3% of the altcoin prices on a certain major exchange platform are above the 200-day moving average, while the rest are basically lying on the floor.
This data is a bit frightening—however, from a seasonal index perspective, the situation might not be as desperate. Currently, the index is at 17%, a position that has historically often signaled a rebound. Ironically, the fear and greed index has soared to 29, indicating extremely pessimistic market sentiment.
Interestingly, the largest gains are actually concentrated in assets with narratives, such as artificial intelligence and privacy coins. The technical indicators provide more room for imagination: the Bollinger Bands have narrowed down to near the support level, which usually suggests that the bottom is approaching; the price fluctuation indicators also reveal signs of accumulation. Once the rebound starts, breaking through a total market capitalization of 1.21 trillion USD is not a dream.
Waiting.