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The cryptocurrency market has been a bit tough lately. Since September, the altcoin index has fallen over 30%, and many people are shaking their heads at this number. But do you know? Some signs of a turnaround are actually brewing.
I've been in this circle for a few years, and recently, after chatting with several veteran investors, I found everyone's feelings are surprisingly consistent—the market software shows a landscape of altcoins experiencing a "flash in the pan" trend. Occasionally, a few follow Bitcoin and Ethereum's rebound, but if you're a bit slow to react, you're already caught in a trap. This situation indicates one thing: altcoins are still in a downward oscillation. However, history has taught us that the most desperate times in the market are often the starting points for new opportunities.
**How bad are altcoins right now?**
Data doesn't lie. The ratio of total market cap of altcoins to Bitcoin's market cap has fallen to a multi-year low, and the small-cap token index has directly dropped back to its lowest point since November 2020. This is a world apart from the crazy days of 2021—back then, as long as a project was packaged as DeFi or NFT, it could multiply several times in minutes. And now? Even though Bitcoin has risen more than sevenfold from its lows, breaking through $126,000, most altcoins still look lackluster, and their relative price compared to Bitcoin has fallen to a four-year low.
**Why are high-end assets attracting capital while small tokens are being neglected?**
Liquidity is gathering in the highest-value areas. Institutional funds are pouring into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, but this money hasn't spread into ordinary altcoins. Conversely, the MarketVector Digital Asset Small Cap 100 Index's return over the past five years is about -8%—and what does this number tell us?