12.26 Midday BTC Price Movement Forecast and Analysis

Based on the latest BTC market data (current price 88,799.9, intraday high 89,432.0, low 86,824.8), combined with the capital game after options expiration, we analyze the midday trend and develop a clear wave strategy:

1. Core Market Signal Analysis

1. Key Support and Resistance
- Support: 88,500-88,700 is a critical level for short-term rebound pullback, serving as the support during intraday rally consolidation; 88,000-88,200 is a strong support, and breaking below will test the previous rebound zone at 87,500-87,800.
- Resistance: 89,000-89,200 is the first resistance during midday rebound, forming a cap after intraday high; 89,400-89,500 (below the intraday high) is a strong resistance. Breaking through requires increased volume and must overcome the selling pressure after options expiration.

2. Volume and Momentum Judgment
BTC surged violently from 86,824.8 to 89,432.0, with increased volume during the rise but also volume during the pullback, indicating that after the bullish surge, profit-taking pressure is significant. In the short term, this is "consolidation after sharp rise," with no sustained upward momentum. The midday trend is likely to be mainly consolidative.

3. Post-Options Expiration Sentiment Impact
After 23.6 billion in options expired, short-term selling pressure was released, but funds remain cautious, with no obvious influx of new capital, making it difficult to form a clear trend.

2. Midday Wave Strategy

1. Bullish Strategy
- Entry Conditions: BTC pulls back to the 88,500-88,700 range, with volume-confirmed stabilization candles (hammer, bullish engulfing).
- Stop Loss: Below 88,000 to avoid support breakdown risk.
- Target: First target 89,000-89,400; after breakthrough, look at 89,500-90,000.

2. Bearish Strategy
- Entry Conditions: BTC rebounds to the 89,000-89,200 range, with volume-confirmed resistance candles (shooting star, bearish engulfing).
- Stop Loss: Above 89,500 to prevent false breakouts.
- Target: First target 88,500-88,700; if broken, then 88,000-88,200.

3. Core Conclusion on Midday Trend

BTC is highly likely to consolidate within the 88,500-89,200 range during midday, affected by profit-taking after rapid intraday gains and cautious sentiment post-options expiration. Resistance is likely to be encountered during upward moves, and technical support will be present during pullbacks. If you’re unsure about entry timing, always stay alert! The captain monitors volume anomalies in real-time, provides precise buy/sell signals, and helps you confidently capture midday wave profits!