#比特币与黄金战争 Looking at the 1-hour K-line of BTC, the market signals are very clear now. This is a critical moment for choosing a direction, mainly focusing on these three points.

The Bollinger Bands are already compressed to an extreme, with the upper, middle, and lower bands almost touching each other. This indicates that volatility has been squeezed to the bottom. The price repeatedly tests near the middle band, but with the bands closing in so tightly, it suggests that a big move could happen at any time. The longer the consolidation lasts, the more intense the breakout will be once it occurs—that's a basic rule.

On the MACD side, the DIF line is still above the DEA line, but the red histogram is shrinking, with each bar shorter than the last. This shows that the bullish momentum is almost exhausted. It's like running and starting to gasp in the latter half—seems like you're still moving forward, but your speed has actually slowed down. If the price continues to rise but the MACD can't keep up, resulting in a bearish divergence, it's time to exit.

Trading volume is completely dead; the volume bars lack energy. This kind of low-volume consolidation indicates that big funds are watching from the sidelines and haven't decided how to act yet. Breakouts without volume support are unreliable, so be cautious with chasing orders.

Here's the specific strategy:

**Long Position**: Wait for the price to break above the upper band with increased volume, and during pullbacks, do not fall below the middle band. You can enter after a breakout when the price retraces to the 89,000-89,300 area, with a stop-loss below 88,800, aiming for targets around 90,500-91,000.

**Short Position**: Wait for the price to break below the middle band along with a MACD bearish crossover, and if it fails to reclaim the middle band during a rebound. You can enter on a rebound to the 88,000-88,200 area, with a stop-loss above 88,500, and targets around 86,500-86,000.

Remember these three rules: Don’t chase without volume, don’t chase breakouts, and don’t act without confirmation. Patience is the most valuable at this stage. All signals are here; it just depends on when the market decides to move on its own.