This wave of Federal Reserve tightening rhetoric may need to be reconsidered.



ING's Chief International Economist James Knightley recently stated clearly: the Federal Reserve still maintains a dovish stance.

Although the December meeting minutes revealed some disagreements within the policy team, the market's reaction is quite interesting—it was not shaken at all. Looking at the data from the futures market, investors generally believe there is a 96% chance that the Fed will cut rates before June next year. What does this number indicate? The market has already formed a strong consensus.

In summary: the overall logic of the policy shift towards easing has not changed. For the crypto market, this certainty in liquidity expectations is the best macro backdrop. The collision of the interest rate cycle and the wave of innovation makes the subsequent trend worth paying attention to.
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SolidityNewbievip
· 4h ago
There's a 96% chance it's all laid out already, so what are you still hesitating about... This wave of liquidity might really be coming.
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UnluckyLemurvip
· 6h ago
96% chance of rate cut? The market has already seen through it. The Fed's small moves can't hide anything, and liquidity is stable this time.
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PhantomHuntervip
· 6h ago
The number 96% sounds very comfortable, and the market has long understood the Federal Reserve's tactics.
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BearMarketHustlervip
· 6h ago
A 96% probability... in plain terms, it means the market is already betting on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates. This wave of liquidity expectations is stabilized, and for the crypto world, isn't this the most exciting moment?
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PonziWhisperervip
· 7h ago
Is the 96% figure really true? Then how big must the arbitrage opportunity be...
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YieldHuntervip
· 7h ago
nah, 96% rate cut probability? technically speaking if you look at the data - that's degens pricing in a fairy tale. correlation coefficient between fed talk and actual moves is way messier than this consensus suggests. sustainable returns don't come from consensus, tbh.
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DegenDreamervip
· 7h ago
96% chance of rate cut? Uh, is that real? That's way too high. It feels like the market is a bit overly optimistic.
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PensionDestroyervip
· 7h ago
96%? Where does this confidence in the market come from? I feel a bit uncertain.
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