Ethereum (ETH) Market Overview (2026-01-01, UTC+8)

- Current price approximately $2980, short-term volatility is neutral, awaiting direction.
- Key resistance levels: 3020-3030, 3056, 3080-3100; key support levels: 2974 (Bollinger middle band), 2910-2930, 2880-2890.
- Technical analysis: Hourly EMA30/120 converging, direction unclear; MACD shows a low-level golden cross, initial red bars appear, rebound momentum brewing; RSI neutral, no obvious overbought or oversold signals.
- Macro and capital: Strong influence from BTC correlation, US stock market sentiment cautious, funds mainly on the sidelines, waiting for a breakout with volume.

Trading Strategies (for reference only, not investment advice)

- Long positions: Hold above 2975 with a small position, target 3020-3030, stop loss at 2950; break above 3045 add to position, target 3080-3100, stop loss at 3000.
- Short positions: Break below 2974 with a small position, target 2910-2930, stop loss at 2990; lose support at 2880 add to short, target 2820-2840, stop loss at 2900.
- Position sizing: Small batches, reserve room for adding or stopping losses, avoid chasing highs.

Risk Reminder

- End of volatility prone to trend reversal, beware of false breakouts/breakdowns, signals include volume increase + stabilization at key levels.
- Watch for external shocks such as BTC volatility, US interest rate cut expectations, regulatory news, etc.

My blogger opinion (inducing bullish trend, likely to end within about a week, then a sharp decline) #我的2026第一条帖