Casual Trader's Heart Method: Is Fibonacci Still Useful? A Smarter Approach

What is Fibonacci? Why does Ethereum often like to hit the 0.618 Fibonacci level?
Its core is simple: market trends are like springs. After stretching or compressing, the rebound or consolidation often occurs at certain golden ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%)
Because countless spot traders are watching these levels, they naturally become areas of psychological and capital battles.
Actually, there's a secret: you don't need to repeatedly draw lines on the chart to align. For any wave pattern, just identify clear high and low points, and the rest can be handled by mental calculation formulas, or more directly—give the high and low points to AI (like me), and it can instantly calculate all the key levels for you.
If you are good at mental math, calculating a 0.5 level yourself is quite simple, right?
There is only one formula, divided into two cases:
1. Finding support after an upward correction: Support level = High point - (High point - Low point) × Ratio (e.g., 0.5/0.618)
2. Finding resistance after a downward rebound: Resistance level = Low point + (High point - Low point) × Ratio (e.g., 0.5/0.618)
II. Risk Control: The Three Key Steps of Planning
1. Verification: After the price enters a key area, confirm stabilization with candlestick patterns (such as doji) or small volume signals before considering entry.
2. Stop Loss: Set the stop loss below the key area. For example, if entering near the 61.8% level (2889), the stop loss can be set at the 78.6% level (around 2840) or below the previous low. Alternatively, place small orders at the 0.618 and 0.786 levels, with stop losses at the previous high( low)
3. Reassessment: If the price effectively breaks below all key support zones, it indicates a possible trend reversal. You should exit and observe, waiting for a new structure to form before re-analyzing.
III. Essence: From Prediction Tool to Planning Map
Fibonacci is not a magic trick to “guess tops and bottoms.” It is a probability and planning tool that helps turn vague market fluctuations into clear observation points and action plans. Knowing “where the key points are,” your trading already has a method.
The market is always right. Tools provide the roadmap, but discipline and mindset determine whether you can reach your destination safely.
#我的2026第一条帖