Three months, from 3,000 to 150,000 — this is not bragging, but a real trading record I achieved through risk control and a good sense of rhythm.

That day in the early morning, a friend sent me a screenshot of his account, with only a few hundred dollars left. "I really can't hold on this time." I told him, open the Bitcoin weekly chart, drag the K-line back to the position six months ago — at that time, the entire market was bearish, but looking back now, that was exactly when the main players started quietly accumulating.

80% of people who can't make money in the crypto space are not lacking in skills, but are defeated by the rhythm. Market makers use news to guide retail investors' emotions, building positions when everyone is panicking and selling, then using long-term sideways movement to wear down your patience, and finally, they use FOMO to pump prices and harvest everyone.

I want to share three core logics that help me survive in volatile markets.

**1. Emotional Cycles Are the Key to Contrarian Strategies**

Market sentiment is the best indicator. Yale economist Robert Shiller has studied how hot narratives can directly drive asset prices. Simply put, when there's a lot of criticism and no one is paying attention, that's the real opportunity. Conversely, when there's a lot of hype, it's often time to exit.

Extreme emotional points are most suitable for contrarian actions. In April this year, Ethereum dropped to $1500, and everyone was saying "Ethereum is doomed," but on-chain data showed that chips were flowing from retail investors to big players. I advised those learning from me to build positions gradually, not gambling blindly, but recognizing the signals of changing whales behind the data.

A simple way to judge: see if anyone in your trading group is talking. When the group is dead silent, and no one is expressing emotions...