#比特币价格走势 Seeing the probability of Bitcoin breaking $100,000 this year on Polymarket drop from 10% to 8%, market sentiment is indeed cooling down. But I want to share a perspective — this is actually a reflection of rational thinking.

Short-term price fluctuations are inherently uncertain, and market participants adjusting expectations based on the latest data is the charm of decentralized prediction markets. As an on-chain prediction platform, Polymarket gathers genuine judgments from numerous participants, with information density far higher than traditional public opinion.

Instead of obsessing over a few percentage points change in probability, I am more concerned with the underlying shift in market mentality. Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has experienced multiple waves of volatility, from expectations of halving rallies to now rational assessments. The market is becoming more mature. This maturity itself is a sign of healthy development in the crypto ecosystem.

In the long run, Bitcoin’s value proposition has never changed — it is digital gold, a safe haven against inflation. Short-term ups and downs are just the market continuously discovering the price. Instead of chasing whether it can break $100,000 this year, it’s better to reflect on your genuine understanding of Bitcoin as a decentralized asset.

True Web3 participants never just look at the price; they focus on the long-term possibilities this revolution can bring.