U.S. December small business employment data just released, with an increase of only 41,000 jobs, below the market expectation of 50,000. This data reflects a significant slowdown in labor market growth momentum after 2026. Interestingly, while large enterprises are tightening their workforce, small and medium-sized enterprises are showing signs of recovery. This divergence is worth noting.
Once the news broke, the US stock market initially surged but then sharply retreated, yet the crypto market did not follow the upward trend. The short-selling strategies announced yesterday proved effective, with Bitcoin gains approaching 2000 points per trade, and Ethereum also securing gains of over 100 points.
From a technical perspective, although Bitcoin's daily chart closed bearish, it has not yet broken below the 60-day moving average. However, Bollinger Bands are clearly narrowing, the KDJ indicator has already shown a dead cross signaling a downward turn at high levels, and MACD momentum is continuously shrinking. These signs all point to a bearish trend. Ethereum's situation is similar, with technicals also leaning towards weakness. Based on these judgments, the strategy remains to rebound and short. Next Friday’s non-farm payroll data will be crucial, and close attention must be paid to its impact on the market.
**Short-selling plan:**
For Bitcoin, at the current price of 92,200-92,800, you can go short directly. Conservative traders are advised to wait for opportunities in the 93,500-94,000 range. Set stop-loss around 95,000, with the first target at 91,500-91,000. If broken, continue to watch for 90,500 and the 90,000 level, and adjust stop-loss flexibly based on the breakout to lock in profits.
Ethereum can short at the current price of 3,220-3,260, with a safer entry around 3,300. Defensive level is at 3,350, with targets at 3,150, 3,130, and 3,100. If the price continues to break down, focus on 3,050 and 3,000, using trailing stops to protect gains.
**Long-position plan:**
If the market pulls back to the 89,000-89,500 range, consider opening a long position with a stop at 88,000. Targets are 90,000, 90,500, and 91,000, with stop-loss moved accordingly after breakout.
Ethereum can be long at the 3,020-3,050 retracement zone, with a stop at 2,960. Targets are 3,100, 3,140, and 3,170. Adjust stop-loss after breakout as well.
The previous two days’ short-selling strategies performed as expected, with two consecutive gains. However, the recent weak non-farm payroll data was a surprise, and whether the upcoming non-farm payroll will bring another "shock" remains uncertain. This will directly influence the subsequent performance of cryptocurrencies, so close attention must be paid to Friday’s non-farm payroll release.
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TokenVelocity
· 3h ago
Unexpectedly weak Non-Farm Payrolls, I really don’t dare to look at the big Non-Farm Payrolls this Friday.
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Two consecutive gains, feeling a bit high on myself, Friday’s definitely going to crash.
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The rebound in small and medium-sized enterprises is what it is, but a drop in coin prices is the real deal.
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A 2000-point profit from short positions, is that all? I was hoping for a few more waves.
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If the big Non-Farm Payrolls surprise us again, I’ll just fully liquidate and lie flat.
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Breaking the level and stopping loss—easy to say, hard to do, can I really stick to it?
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Let’s see if Friday can put on another show, otherwise this short position idea will be a waste.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropHarvester
· 7h ago
Only a 2000-point gain? Still waiting for the non-farm payroll to save the day.
View OriginalReply0
ChainSauceMaster
· 22h ago
Short positions have gained some profit in two waves, just waiting for Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls to shake things up. It's a bit uncertain.
View OriginalReply0
NftBankruptcyClub
· 01-08 01:55
Oh no, another wave of nearly perfect short positions, 2000 points is really a lot.
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US stocks plummeted but the crypto market stayed still, this is the correct way to open.
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Damn, non-farm payroll data is so disappointing, can we stop causing trouble on Friday's big non-farm payroll?
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Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and a death cross has appeared. Continuing to short is the way to go.
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Large companies are laying off while small and medium-sized enterprises are active? This signal needs to be analyzed.
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Both of the last two waves were profitable, this time the strategy really has no flaws.
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Will the big non-farm payroll surprise us again? Just thinking about it keeps me awake.
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Bitcoin is still hovering above the 60 moving average, the battlefield is below.
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Ethereum's weakness is so obvious, it crashes after rebounds, feels very comfortable.
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If Friday's non-farm payroll has another "surprise," I might just vomit blood.
View OriginalReply0
DegenDreamer
· 01-08 01:54
Huh, another surprise non-farm payroll report. We need to stay alert this Friday.
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Two consecutive bullish runs are real, but I'm just worried that the big non-farm payroll might reverse again.
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Small and medium-sized enterprises are recovering, while large companies are downsizing? This move feels like a contrarian indicator.
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My short position idea is in place; now let's see if we can keep riding the wave on Friday.
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Entering a short at 92,800 feels like I should wait a bit longer; I don't want to get caught off guard so quickly.
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The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with a death cross turning upward—sounds familiar. Last time it happened, it didn't explode.
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The labor market started weakening in 2026. This wave in the crypto market is indeed an independent trend.
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I need to take another look at Ethereum around 3220; it feels like there's still room to push higher.
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Will the big non-farm payroll still obediently fall if the small one surprises? I'm a bit skeptical.
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I missed out on the 2,000-point move yesterday; I just missed it again.
View OriginalReply0
SatsStacking
· 01-08 01:49
The non-farm payrolls surprise on Friday, really worth paying close attention to
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Both short and long positions, this wave of market movement is a bit shaky
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A 2000-point gain is indeed impressive, but I'm worried about another big non-farm payroll event causing trouble
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Small and medium-sized enterprises are recovering, while large companies are laying off staff; this divergence is interesting
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The Bollinger Bands narrowing and the death cross have appeared, a clear signal of a bearish trend
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Friday's non-farm payrolls are the real test; we'll see the true performance then
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Entering short at 93500 feels a bit hesitant, I need to wait a bit longer
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Two consecutive gains, could this wave be a trap?
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Bitcoin hasn't broken the 60-day moving average yet, showing strong confidence
View OriginalReply0
WalletDoomsDay
· 01-08 01:45
Damn, another surprise data, just caught a wave with the non-farm payrolls
Can we really trust the non-farm payrolls? Feels like we're going to be trapped again on Friday
Two thousand points is quite a lot, everyone should lock in profits quickly
Should I continue to follow the short positions or wait for a pullback? Feeling a bit conflicted
The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, really can't break out, gonna be a dead week
The day before the non-farm payrolls is the most annoying, no room to move
The idea is good, but this market is too weird, need to see Friday's reaction
View OriginalReply0
PriceOracleFairy
· 01-08 01:33
ngl the small biz hiring just got obliterated but somehow crypto didn't care... that's actually sus lol. like the market's pricing in something we're all missing?
U.S. December small business employment data just released, with an increase of only 41,000 jobs, below the market expectation of 50,000. This data reflects a significant slowdown in labor market growth momentum after 2026. Interestingly, while large enterprises are tightening their workforce, small and medium-sized enterprises are showing signs of recovery. This divergence is worth noting.
Once the news broke, the US stock market initially surged but then sharply retreated, yet the crypto market did not follow the upward trend. The short-selling strategies announced yesterday proved effective, with Bitcoin gains approaching 2000 points per trade, and Ethereum also securing gains of over 100 points.
From a technical perspective, although Bitcoin's daily chart closed bearish, it has not yet broken below the 60-day moving average. However, Bollinger Bands are clearly narrowing, the KDJ indicator has already shown a dead cross signaling a downward turn at high levels, and MACD momentum is continuously shrinking. These signs all point to a bearish trend. Ethereum's situation is similar, with technicals also leaning towards weakness. Based on these judgments, the strategy remains to rebound and short. Next Friday’s non-farm payroll data will be crucial, and close attention must be paid to its impact on the market.
**Short-selling plan:**
For Bitcoin, at the current price of 92,200-92,800, you can go short directly. Conservative traders are advised to wait for opportunities in the 93,500-94,000 range. Set stop-loss around 95,000, with the first target at 91,500-91,000. If broken, continue to watch for 90,500 and the 90,000 level, and adjust stop-loss flexibly based on the breakout to lock in profits.
Ethereum can short at the current price of 3,220-3,260, with a safer entry around 3,300. Defensive level is at 3,350, with targets at 3,150, 3,130, and 3,100. If the price continues to break down, focus on 3,050 and 3,000, using trailing stops to protect gains.
**Long-position plan:**
If the market pulls back to the 89,000-89,500 range, consider opening a long position with a stop at 88,000. Targets are 90,000, 90,500, and 91,000, with stop-loss moved accordingly after breakout.
Ethereum can be long at the 3,020-3,050 retracement zone, with a stop at 2,960. Targets are 3,100, 3,140, and 3,170. Adjust stop-loss after breakout as well.
The previous two days’ short-selling strategies performed as expected, with two consecutive gains. However, the recent weak non-farm payroll data was a surprise, and whether the upcoming non-farm payroll will bring another "shock" remains uncertain. This will directly influence the subsequent performance of cryptocurrencies, so close attention must be paid to Friday’s non-farm payroll release.