Recently observing Bitcoin's trend, I found an interesting phenomenon.



Although the large-cycle systematic trend has not yet fully unfolded, the price performance over the past few weeks has already revealed some subtle signal changes. Especially, this recent rebound has lasted longer, and the subsequent correction has been quite decisive. Compared to the fragmented volatility of the previous two weeks, the current price action is noticeably more coherent—what does this shift mean? It indicates that volatility is quietly expanding, and the resilience of oscillations is strengthening.

Simply put, we are still in a range-bound consolidation phase, and key levels have not been effectively broken through. But the feeling is that the market's "building-up" sense is increasing. Looking back in a few weeks, you'll notice that starting from this week, the amplitude of price fluctuations has indeed been increasing month by month.

When the volatility becomes so large that the range cannot contain it, that will be the true trend initiation.

At present, Bitcoin has already released a lot of pressure during this correction, and the price is just near the middle band of the 4-hour channel. If this support holds, the probability of a rebound is higher; otherwise, a reassessment is needed. Overall, this upcoming period is a good time for observation.
BTC0.86%
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MissedTheBoatvip
· 01-11 10:20
Here comes another attempt to fool us into bottom-fishing, claiming it's building momentum every time, but ending up crashing through.
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MrRightClickvip
· 01-11 10:05
The accumulation phase is the most agonizing, but this dullness is often the calm before the storm. The 4-hour midline position is indeed worth watching; holding steady could lead to success.
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ApyWhisperervip
· 01-10 12:23
I also have the feeling that the volatility is increasing, but I'm still waiting for that true breakdown moment to arrive.
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TideRecedervip
· 01-08 14:03
Whether the midline holds or not, let's see if it can break through next week. Currently, it does seem to be gathering momentum, but this kind of signal has fooled many people before. We still need to wait for action to speak.
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DegenWhisperervip
· 01-08 14:02
The feeling of momentum is indeed there; now it's just a matter of whether this midline can hold. I feel we might see the clues next week.
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NotFinancialAdviservip
· 01-08 14:02
The feeling of building momentum is indeed there, but the moment of true breakout can only be confirmed then. It's still early to say anything now. I'm also watching that point on the 4-hour midline; whether it holds or not is really crucial.
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NFTRegrettervip
· 01-08 14:01
The idea of increased volatility is quite plausible; it feels like this wave is indeed different. --- Starting to gather momentum again. How many times have we heard this rhetoric, haha. --- Whether the midline can hold is the key; everything else is nonsense. --- Every time they say it will start, but in the end, it's the same old story. --- Just waiting for the right opportunity. Anyway, since we're free, might as well watch.
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OnchainHolmesvip
· 01-08 13:41
Volatility widens and momentum builds up—I've heard this explanation too many times. The key still depends on whether it can break through. Is this time really different? I remain skeptical. Let's see if the 4-hour midline can hold. After such a long period of consolidation, I just want to see how high it can finally go.
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