2026-01-08 18:10:13

#美国贸易赤字状况 The waves of trade negotiations are essentially a reorganization of the global capital tide.

As traders, the key is not to focus on how news headlines are written, but to keep an eye on one question: where is the money flowing?

**The Tug of War Between the Renminbi and the US Dollar**

Progress in negotiations directly impacts exchange rate nerves. When the Renminbi strengthens, Asian funds are more willing to enter the market; when the US dollar appreciates, conservative funds tend to shift to safe havens. These subtle changes in exchange rates often predict the market's next move better than the news itself.

**Is it a clone or gold? It all depends on risk appetite.**

If negotiations go smoothly and risk appetite increases, various altcoins are eager to move. Conversely, if there is volatility, funds will quickly return to safe-haven assets like $BTC , similar to gold in traditional markets.

The current market is like a scared bird—any minor fluctuation in news can cause a 2000-point plunge. The market is highly sensitive to uncertainty, with emotional swings far exceeding fundamental changes.

**My trading principle is simple.**

At this stage, quantitative strategies are tightening stop-losses, and market participants are becoming more cautious. Before the "big shoe" drops, bottom-fishing with leverage to bet on the direction is essentially betting on geopolitical complexity—and such complexity often exceeds what K-line charts can explain.

The safest approach: protect your principal and patiently wait for the trend to become fully clear. The cost of rushing is often very high.

BTC0,13%

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ForkLibertarian

· 1h ago

Where the money flows is the real truth; the news is all false --- Same old story, betting on geopolitics is no better than betting on dice --- Now like a scared bird, trembling and about to collapse --- Holding principal until clarity, this is very true, but no one listens --- The RMB fluctuates back and forth, capital moves faster than rabbits --- How are those leverage guys doing now haha --- Still daring to touch altcoins at this time, really brave --- Exchange rate trends can decide everything, much more reliable than looking at K-line charts --- Quantitative traders are all closing stop-losses, retail investors are still sleepwalking --- When negotiations falter, funds pile into BTC, so typical

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MissingSats

· 2h ago

Money flows into safe-haven assets, and that's the current rhythm, BTC remains very stable. --- The boots haven't hit the ground yet, adding leverage is just looking for death. I'm now just safeguarding the principal and waiting for opportunities. --- This wave of market was scared out of its wits, and as soon as the news came out, it plunged. There's really no way to play. --- Exchange rates are the real determinant of everything; news is just a smokescreen. Watching where the money flows is what matters. --- Don't touch altcoins for now; wait until risk appetite truly recovers. Right now, it's all noise. --- Geopolitical complexity has gone beyond the scope. The most terrifying things are those that can't be drawn on K-line charts. I choose to lie flat. --- RMB appreciation attracts Asian funds. I can understand this logic, but I really can't wait that long now. --- Tightening stop-losses is correct; better to earn less than to lose everything in one go. That's the basic principle of survival. --- "A wave of news swings crashes 2000 points," this bird was scared too badly. I really don't want to move.

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GateUser-a606bf0c

· 01-09 11:35

Knowing where the money is flowing is a hundred times more important than reading news headlines—this statement is spot on. Really, those leveraging up to buy the dip are all betting on geopolitics; it's so exciting. Wait, will this market cycle repeat several more times?

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MaticHoleFiller

· 01-08 18:33

Where the money flows is the real signal. News is just noise. --- This wave is indeed fierce, a slight breeze causes a plunge, the market is like a startled rabbit. --- Wait for the dust to settle; adding leverage now is just gambling on luck. --- BTC is the gold in chaotic times, everything else is just stories. --- When the exchange rate moves, funds will run; this thing is much more honest than K-line charts. --- Protect your principal, wait for the trend to become clear; it's easy to say but really hard to do. --- Greedy traders who rush into quick trades have all been liquidated; few can survive and come back. --- The RMB's rise or fall is just a matter of a thought; global funds must be reshuffled again. --- In this market, it's not about how strong your skills are, but how long you can endure. --- Geopolitical situations are more brutal than any chart.

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SadMoneyMeow

· 01-08 18:32

Where the money flows is indeed the core of market trends, but at this stage, leveraging is really a gamble on geopolitics... After losing a few times, I realize that protecting the principal is more important than anything. --- Ah, I deeply relate to the seesaw described in this article. When the RMB strengthens, Asian funds become restless; when the dollar appreciates again, they all rush to buy BTC. This back-and-forth chopping has tired out the retail investors. --- The current market indeed resembles a frightened bird, plunging 2000 points on any news, which is the most terrifying part. Instead of betting on the direction, it's better to wait for the dust to settle. Although slow, at least the mind stays unburdened. --- Quantitative tightening is tightening stop-losses, and the market is on high alert. People still dare to buy the dip with leverage... Never mind, no comment. Wishing everyone capital preservation. --- The RMB-USD seesaw has been played for years. Now it feels like altcoins no longer deserve the word 'risk appetite'; BTC is the true safe haven. --- Before the dust settles, adding leverage to bet on the direction—aren't we just using candlesticks to guess geopolitics? For this round, I choose to exit and observe.

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LuckyBearDrawer

· 01-08 18:25

Honestly, leveraging now is just gambling on ghost stories. --- Where the money flows is more useful than watching the news; this point is well said. --- I was laughed by the phrase "a bird that has been scared," the market indeed has its nerves wrong. --- Waiting for the trend to become clear before protecting principal sounds simple but is hard to do. Who doesn't want to double quickly? --- The seesaw between USD and RMB is indeed predictable, but how can ordinary retail investors follow? --- Is bottom-fishing and betting on geopolitics just treating your account like a roulette wheel? --- I buy into the logic of $BTC as digital gold, just not sure when it will truly be "clear." --- Everyone is closing their stop-losses now, only those with bullets still dare to move. --- The "boot" not landing is a false proposition; the boot is always falling. --- As risk appetite increases, altcoins are eager to move. This routine is the same as last year, and some are still rushing in.

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SelfCustodyIssues

· 01-08 18:18

Where the money flows is a very good question, but the current market is just a gambler's playground. Those who still leverage up to buy the dip, to be blunt, are playing Russian roulette. Let's wait until the dust settles; preserving the principal is the true key.

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RugpullTherapist

· 01-08 18:15

The boots haven't hit the ground yet, I will hold onto BTC firmly; everything else is just gambling.

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