January 10, 2026 BTC Contract Key Technical Levels

The current market is in a critical support confirmation phase, oscillating between decisions. Abandon all intermediate price operations, focus on the battle between “key level breakthroughs” and “support re-tests.”
Dividing line between bulls and bears: 90,450.7 USDT (verified strong support on the daily chart, the lower boundary of the current oscillation range; a break below indicates weakening).

Upper resistance levels (breakout long / rebound short zones):
P3: 94,741.5 (weekly previous high, strong resistance)
P2: 92,000.0 (key psychological level and chip pressure)
P1: 91,600.0 (recent oscillation upper boundary; a breakout opens short-term upward space)

Lower support levels (long zones):
S1: 90,450.7 (core long position / dividing line, high value on second test)
S2: 89,200.0 (above the 89,195.6 low from 24 hours ago, lower boundary of the range)
S3: 87,717.9 (previous platform support; a break below indicates a mid-term bearish structure)

Probability trading discipline:
1. The above levels are technical estimated points, not precise levels; orders can be placed with a fluctuation of 100~150 points around these levels.
2. Today's stop-loss distance: 1100 points (take-profit distance; beginners can set at 1:1, experienced traders should execute and reduce positions by 50%-75% after moving to break-even to protect capital).
3. Max two preset trades per day (long and short setups).
4. If daily cumulative loss reaches 10% of capital, forcibly shut down for rest.

Core trading logic:
• From a macro perspective, the market is in a large oscillation within an upward trend, characterized by high volatility. The weekly chart shows a decline, with price hovering around key levels; the direction is unclear, forming a high-level oscillation pattern.
• From a medium-term perspective, yesterday’s candlestick closed with a long lower shadow, precisely testing and stabilizing at the key support of 90,450.7, confirming its validity. However, the price failed to rebound strongly, closing below the short-term moving average, indicating a weak rebound at a key support level, requiring further confirmation of direction.
• From a short-term perspective, after testing the 89,195.6 low point and rebounding, the current resistance is around the moving average band (about 91,250). The structure is a low-range oscillation after a decline (89,200-91,600). 90,450.7 is the core midline and psychological support within this range.

Probability trading conclusion:
The market is forming a contraction oscillation above the key support level. The high-probability strategy is: abandon intermediate prices and bet on breakouts at both ends. Strategy one: when the price volume breaks above P1(91,600), go long. Strategy two: when the price retests and holds S1(90,450.7), go long. Strategy three: when the price breaks below S1 and then rebounds without strength, try short positions with light holdings. All operations must strictly include stop-loss, avoid overthinking, and set fixed risk traps. Use a consistent 1:1 profit-loss ratio, allowing market inertia to pay rewards. By consistently executing this simple, repetitive system, you will achieve stable profits.

Disclaimer: The above analysis is solely based on publicly available information and market interpretation, and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly risky; please rationally assess your own risk tolerance.