#比特币价格趋势 James Wynn's recent prophecy of "doubling in 60 days to 175,000" has directly shifted to "at least a 10% rebound." Honestly, this is the behavior of a rational trader. Extreme predictions attract attention, but those who truly make money are the ones willing to adjust their strategies.

Recently, I have been observing a few long-term stable traders. Their logic for judging BTC rebounds is actually similar—there is indeed an expectation of capital flowing out from stocks and real estate, but the key factors are the time cycle and entry points. Some choose to go all-in after a 35% decline, while others build positions in three stages. Their styles are completely different, but their returns are not significantly different, depending on each one's risk tolerance.

The 50-week moving average support level is indeed worth paying attention to; historical data shows it is an effective indicator. If you want to follow traders dealing with such themes, my advice is: don't be fooled by the absolute values of predictions. Focus on their stop-loss settings and position sizing logic. A trader who is willing to revise their forecasts is more trustworthy than a prophet who never admits mistakes.

Currently, I am observing the position changes of two traders with different styles at this level. I will decide on the scale of following them after understanding their strategic adjustments. Practice makes perfect; predictions are always just references.