2026-01-10 03:28:26

Recently, interesting contrasting signals have emerged from US employment data. In December, employers announced layoffs totaling 35,000, which sounds modest, representing a 50% month-over-month decrease and only an 8% year-over-year decline, even hitting the lowest level since July 2024. At first glance, it seems the labor market is recovering?

But the truth might not be so optimistic. If you look at a longer timeline—adding up the layoffs over the past 12 months—the total has already surpassed 100,000. Such a situation is rare in history, except during recessions or shortly after severe shocks like in 2020.

In other words, while monthly layoffs have slowed, the cumulative unemployment pressure is quietly building up. For traders focused on macroeconomic trends, this is not a small signal—it suggests that the resilience of the labor market may not be as strong as imagined.

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TerraNeverForget

· 17h ago

Once the figure of 100,000 is out, you understand—beneath the calm surface, there are turbulent undercurrents.

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MEVSandwichVictim

· 17h ago

The data looks good, but the ledger is a mess—that's the true picture of employment in the US. --- Once again, a game of visual contrast: a good single month can ruin the annual outlook. I just enjoy this kind of contrast. --- The unemployment pressure of 100,000 people is gradually building up. Traders should wake up. --- Just looking at a 50% drop in December is too early to celebrate; the real bomb is when the annual total exceeds 100,000. --- It's like a K-line rebound, but the trading volume hasn't kept up. Eventually, reality will catch up. --- Labor market resilience? Ha, let's wait for 12 months of data to tell. --- The US has also started playing data tricks; good news in a single month masks the true annual picture.

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AllTalkLongTrader

· 17h ago

Playing the number game again... Looks good for the month, but when you look at the year, it directly breaks 100,000. I've seen this trick before.

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LiquidationKing

· 17h ago

A single month's numbers look good but are just a smokescreen; the real story is that over 100,000 layoffs have accumulated, and this is a typical sign of a debt snowball taking off.

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PaperHandsCriminal

· 17h ago

It's the same old trick again, impressive single-month performance but cumulative explosion, typical financial magic... Wait, 100,000 layoffs compared to 2020? Now it's really uncertain. I just want to know when the market will face this issue directly, instead of just obsessing over monthly data. Rare historical signals have appeared, and it's still stable? I don't believe it. Cumulative unemployment pressure is the most painful, feeling like I'm about to be cut...

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