#比特币价格预测 Seeing the latest data from Polymarket, the probability of Bitcoin dropping below 80,000 in December has decreased from 16% to 9%. This change is quite interesting. In just one day, market expectations have shifted noticeably, and the probability of breaking through 95,000 has actually increased to 10%.

Such fluctuations are common in investing and often cause people to be easily swayed by short-term emotions. What I want to say is that predictions are inherently uncertain, and every market swing can trigger herd behavior. Instead of chasing these numerical changes, it's better to focus more on your own position management—are your holdings proportionate? Does your risk tolerance match your allocation plan?

In the long run, what truly helps us weather volatility is never precise short-term price predictions, but clear asset allocation strategies and sufficient psychological resilience. The market will have optimism and pessimism; what's important is that we always stay rational and do not change our overall plan just because of short-term probability shifts.

Prudent investors are not those who avoid volatility, but those who, based on a full understanding of risks, steadfastly execute their strategies.