Traders who engage in short-term BTC trading have all experienced this heartbreaking feeling: the wild fluctuations during the day wear you out completely, and only in the evening does the market truly start to move. But by then, you've already been drained and have no energy left. When you finally realize and confirm the trend, the market has already run far ahead.



I used to be stuck in this trap too. Later, through countless reviews and analyses, I gradually developed a set of small tips. It's not really a "prediction technique," but more like a reference tool to help determine whether to follow the trend today.

The key discovery is here: the 5-minute K-line charts from 23:00 to 01:00 each day often predict the overall direction of the trading day ahead. During this period, the 5-minute trend tends to echo the 1-hour K-line trend from 23:00 to 23:00 the next day. It's not foolproof, but when it aligns, the intraday trend becomes much clearer.

How to interpret this specifically? My method is to compare the 5-minute trend from 23:00 to 01:00 with the 1-hour K-line of the following day. Note that you shouldn't focus on a single K-line but rather observe the continuous trend.

When I look at the 5-minute chart, I usually analyze two bars at a time. Not intentionally counting, but feeling the rhythm: are these two bars continuing the previous direction, or are they probing, bouncing back, hesitating? If you observe long enough, you'll develop an intuitive sense of whether the market is trending smoothly or not.

Once you notice that the double-K rhythm at the 5-minute level echoes the trend at the 1-hour level—such as the 1-hour chart clearly showing an upward trend, and the 5-minute pullbacks after 23:00 becoming shallower, with lows gradually rising—the probability that the trend will continue in the same direction that day is quite high.
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MEVHunterNoLossvip
· 7h ago
The window from 11 PM to 1 AM is indeed the best; it's the clearest time to see the direction when bottom-fishing.
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HodlTheDoorvip
· 7h ago
This approach sounds good, but very few people can actually stick with it. I've tried myself, and I tend to overanalyze the details.
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IfIWereOnChainvip
· 7h ago
It's the same thing again, tried several times without saying anything.
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SilentAlphavip
· 7h ago
Can you tell the overall trend from 11 PM to 1 AM? Sounds too perfect. Is it really that accurate in practice?
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BearMarketHustlervip
· 7h ago
Yeah, that's right. The wave from 23:00 to 01:00 is indeed easy to overlook, and a quick counter-move can reverse the trend.
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LazyDevMinervip
· 7h ago
The time period from 11 PM to 1 AM really captures something. I've tried it myself, and occasionally I can see some clues. Alright, alright, it's about finding patterns again. This time, it probably isn't survivor bias again. Looking at two candles at a time sounds simple, but to really use it effectively, you still need a good sense of the market. For beginners, it's probably useless. I feel this method is just slightly bending the probabilities in your favor. Don't rely on it too much to predict anything; the most important thing in trend trading is still stop-loss.
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