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Currently, BTC is trading around $95,148, with a 24-hour decline of less than 0.05%. Given the weekend and US stock market closure, trading sentiment is somewhat冷, and capital flow is relatively light, lacking a strong trend driver in the short term.
From the 1-hour technical perspective, the next hour's (17:17-18:17) movement is most likely to be——mainly range-bound, with $95,000 to $95,300 becoming the main battleground. To break through unilaterally, volume must support it; otherwise, it may cool off and retreat at key levels.
The specific support and resistance levels are as follows: below, $95,000 is an important psychological threshold, supported by short-term moving averages; further support is at $94,850. Above, $95,300 is the current selling pressure zone, with $95,500 being the real strong resistance at higher levels.
Looking at indicator performance——the 1-hour RSI remains at 52, a neutral position, showing no overbought or oversold signals; the MACD histogram is narrowing, indicating that the bullish and bearish forces are roughly balanced, suggesting a sideways consolidation. With such low volatility, a clear signal is usually needed to break this equilibrium.
The three possible future movements are:
- Slightly bullish (30% probability)——if volume increases and it stabilizes above $95,300, it may trend upward to test $95,500;
- Slightly bearish (25% probability)——if it breaks below $95,000 with increased volume, it may test the support at $94,850;
- Most likely (45% probability)——oscillating within the $95,000-$95,300 range, with light trading volume.