2026-01-18 11:28:21

Chinese New Year is just one month away, and the pulse of the Chinese meme coin sector has already begun to show signs. Short-term popularity may surge, but in the medium term, it will start to differentiate and retreat, with overall volatility becoming more intense. Can this wave of enthusiasm reach the Chinese New Year? Let's break it down first.

**Three phenomena on the data level**

The launch of derivatives on leading exchanges and coordinated activities are the strongest short-term catalysts. Once new meme coins are launched, it’s easy to see multi-fold pulse行情 within a single day, but the problem is the durability—basically, they start to retreat within 3 to 5 days. Leading coins (such as those with a solid community foundation) can rely on community consensus and liquidity support, maintaining a market cap of 100 to 200 million USD and oscillating repeatedly, becoming the ballast of the entire sector. Most new coins are unfortunate—they lack a story and funding support, and their popularity cools rapidly within 7 days, ultimately leaving retail investors holding the bag and getting swept.

**The popularity ceiling is becoming more obvious**

It’s difficult for the overall network popularity to surpass the peak in early January. For a single new coin to break through 50 million USD in market cap is already a high difficulty. The total market cap of the entire sector hovers repeatedly between 300 million and 500 million USD. Traffic on exchange platforms and blockchain network Gas fees spike temporarily during new coin launches but fail to form sustained peaks. Social media topic热度 also shifts quickly with new memes, with no long-term retention.

**The real dialogue between drivers and constraints**

Platforms cannot rely solely on core figures’ interactions and expectations to hype, nor can they rely on premeditated clout-chasing and hot search harvesting to finish the job, leaving retail investors holding the bag. Instead, real application scenarios and community consensus should drive the sector.

Constraints are even more critical—regulation must keep pace. For those KOLs and opinion leaders who harvest under the guise of consensus, there should be corresponding punishment mechanisms. These people run after harvesting users and leave the community in ruins once the hype subsides.

**Sincere words for retail investors**

Hope platforms strengthen regulatory oversight. Retail investors should stay far away from air coins without backing or real application. Over 90% of Chinese meme coins are short-term hype, and chasing high prices is extremely risky. Be cautious about following KOLs’ calls—don’t get blinded by the hype.

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TestnetScholar

· 8h ago

Here we go again with the same rhetoric: regulation, punishment, don't chase the highs... Honestly, this wave of meme coins is just about who can run faster. --- I believe in the leading players supporting the market, but the remaining 90% really should be cleared out. Who will clean up the mess? --- Wait, the January peak has already passed? So are people really entering now just to make money? --- KOLs calling the shots, and then blaming retail investors for losing money later for not listening—laughable. --- Can we push through before the Spring Festival? I bet we can... but only for three or five days, then it’s time to cut losses. --- The most heartbreaking part is that phrase "7-day quick cooling." So many people didn't withdraw during that week. --- Market cap of 300 to 500 million, feeling more and more competitive.

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FUD_Whisperer

· 8h ago

Alright, this analysis is thorough... but I still want to buy the dip on those meme coins that got crushed, just gambling on the odds. --- 90% are just pulling the wool over retail investors' eyes, and you're still daring to chase? Isn't that just suicide, brother? --- I believe in the leading coin supporting the market, but will it really stay hot until before the Spring Festival? I have my doubts. --- The routine of KOLs selling and then running away is worn out, but why are people still falling for it? --- This analysis is spot on, but no one listens... When the hype comes, you gotta push through. --- A market cap of $50 million is already tough, indicating clear signs that this sector is in decline. --- Community consensus? Don't be silly, it's just hype around concepts. --- 7 days of cooling down + retail investors taking the bait = perfect harvesting process, no doubt. --- When regulation comes, meme coins will cool off, and then they'll have to find a new theme.

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ConfusedWhale

· 8h ago

Again with the same pattern, a 3 to 5 day pullback? I've seen it too many times, this wave before the Spring Festival might be a dead end. --- KOL signals are just like gambling, I now just mute them, save myself the trouble. --- 90% are just air coins? Then the one I hold must be cleared out too. --- This article is well said, but the problem is whether retail investors listen or not. Anyway, I don't believe it. --- Leading coins fluctuate with a market cap of 1 to 2 billion, more stable but also boring. That’s the real situation, right? --- Regulation is difficult, KOLs who run away do so faster than anything else. How to control them?

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ApeEscapeArtist

· 8h ago

It's the same story again, lasting only 3-5 days before cooling off. Do you really think it can last until the Spring Festival? I doubt it. --- 90% are just air coins, and some people are still chasing high every day. It's crazy. --- Leading projects resist shocks, new coins cool down in seven days. Everyone understands this logic, but the key is that they can't control their hands. --- I'm tired of the drama where KOLs sell and then run away. When will retail investors learn their lesson? --- Regulation catching up is the real solution; otherwise, it's all just empty talk. --- Fifty million USD is the ceiling? No wonder this sector is so competitive. --- Community consensus? Laughable, it's all just storytelling to trap new investors. --- Let's do another round before the Spring Festival. Anyway, new investors are always fresh. --- The hype shifts incredibly fast. Following the trend makes you easy to be exploited. Better to observe for now. --- Thinking you're the leader when you're just a pawn, just different sizes.

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