2026-01-18 12:50:51

#比特币2026年行情展望 BCH this wave of decline has completed a 400-point drop, seemingly precise but actually just a matter of luck.

The key is that I read the signals from the market in advance. The situation at that time was already very clear — BCH's main trend was starting to reverse, the medium-term moving averages showed a death cross, and each rebound was tightly pressed down by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the price unable to break through, and the volume was lagging behind.

Under this structure, so-called "rebounces"? Actually, they are just windows for the bears to replenish their ammunition. No matter how strong the rebound, it is essentially a consolidation within the downward process.

Operating along this framework, the selling pressure on-chain began to gradually rise, and the price simply moved downward.

**But that's not the main point. What truly matters is** — the winning or losing hand in trading actually depends on the structure and rhythm, not on subjective feelings or pure guesses.

I've already locked in the next target zone. To simplify the trading process and reduce the chances of being repeatedly shaken out, it’s helpful to observe the evolution of ideas and gradually understand the market’s temperament.

BCH-1,32%

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RektButAlive

· 2h ago

Here comes the storytelling again, 400 points for precise prediction? I remember you said the same thing last time.

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LayerZeroHero

· 2h ago

Structure and rhythm, that's correct, but most people can't achieve this.

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ContractTester

· 2h ago

Here we go again. I've heard this explanation too many times. Let's wait and see the results.

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RugpullTherapist

· 2h ago

Well, this analysis does have some substance, but honestly, anyone can read the chart. The key is whether it can be reproduced next time. --- Is the middle band of the Bollinger Bands firmly pressed down? Bro, I've heard this theory so many times, and in the end, it still gets broken through. --- The structure and rhythm are correct, but dare you say that the next rebound won't suddenly reverse? --- On-chain selling pressure is too lagging; it's better to directly watch the movements of large wallets for faster insights. --- 400 points precisely? To me, it looks more like an 80% luck factor. --- Friends who want to simplify trading processes, remember one thing: nothing can replace disciplined stop-loss. --- Anyone can be an expert in post-event analysis; I’ll only be convinced if you call it out half an hour in advance. --- Honestly, the market's temperament can't be learned; it changes too quickly. --- The moving average death cross rebound continuation, this kind of rhetoric is a bit of a routine haha. --- The next target area is locked in, so just go all in. Do we still need to talk so much?

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On-ChainDiver

· 2h ago

The Bollinger Bands strategy does have some insights, but claiming 400 points as precise is an overstatement; luck plays a significant role. The explanation of the dead cross rebound is clear, but those who can really make money wouldn't bother explaining it so complicated. Your writing here instead seems to be shooting yourself in the foot. The structure and rhythm are correct, but I just want to ask—if your next target area is wrong, what will you do? Continue to hold or change your stance? I've heard the phrase "understanding market temperament" too many times, and every time, the fastest to get wiped out are these same people. Not to mention, BCH indeed deserves some attention; the trading volume reveals some clues. The on-chain selling pressure part is interesting, but I’d rather see your actual trading records. You speak well, but I’m afraid the reality might be another story. Those truly aiming to simplify trading processes would have stopped writing analysis here long ago.

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ContractHunter

· 2h ago

Well said, but I feel that this set of theories is prone to failure when applied to altcoins.

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GhostChainLoyalist

· 2h ago

It's the same old story, I feel like someone is making precise predictions every day. Alright, just don't change your tune when the next rebound gets you proven wrong. Wait, what exactly is the target zone you're talking about? Talking only about the structure is useless; real money shows true character. The death cross of moving averages has been everywhere for a long time, how can it still be touted as a secret?

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