📊 2026-02-15 BTC Technical Analysis + Trading Strategy (As of 08:15)

Current Price: 69,500 USDT (Oversold rebound, oscillating upward)

1. Core Technical Overview (Quick Summary)

- Short-term (1–4h): Rebound trend, relying on the middle Bollinger Band, more bullish candles than bearish; 68,800 is a strong intraday support
- Daily Chart: Bearish structure, but RSI hits 15 (historical extreme oversold), rebound demand is very strong; 50/200-day moving averages are resistance
- Key Zones: Support at 68,800 → 68,300 → 67,800; Resistance at 70,000 → 71,000 → 72,500
- Capital Flow: $5.45 billion short positions cleared above, making short squeeze easier; ETF funds are flowing out, medium-term selling pressure remains

2. Intraday Trading Strategies (Can be executed directly)

1) Long Positions (Main strategy, primarily low buys)

- Entry: Light position near 68,800; add on dips to 68,300
- Stop Loss: 67,500 (break below indicates breakdown of rebound structure)
- Targets: 70,000 (first take profit) → 71,000 (second take profit)
- Risk Control: Total position ≤ 30%, enter in batches

2) Short Positions (Supporting strategy, mainly high sells)

- Entry: Light short attempt in the 70,000–71,000 range (abandon if volume breaks out)
- Stop Loss: 72,000 (stability above indicates easing of medium-term bearishness)
- Targets: 68,500 → 68,000
- Risk Control: Position ≤ 15%, do not chase shorts

3) Breakout Response

- Break below 67,800: Stop loss on longs, observe; target 67,000 → 66,000
- Stabilize above 72,500: Stop loss on shorts, shift to bullish trend; target 75,000

3. Trading Discipline (Must Read)

- Strict stop loss, no holding through losses, avoid heavy positions
- Don’t chase rebounds; buy on dips
- Focus mainly on BTC, with ETH/SOL synchronized reference
- Macro: Fed rate cut expectations delayed, USD remains strong, rebound space limited

4. One Sentence Summary

Focus on low buys intraday, with high sells as support; buy at 68,800, short at 70,000–71,000, strict stop loss, take profits in batches