March 6 Member Morning Report: Warfare Spreads to the Caucasus, OpenAI Revenue Growth Significantly Slows Down

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  1. [The War Fires Spread to the Caucasus] On March 5, 2026, Iran launched a drone attack on Azerbaijan, dragging this Caspian Sea energy powerhouse into an expanding regional war that has been ongoing since the U.S.-Israel joint strike on Iran on February 28.

  2. [OpenAI’s Revenue Growth Significantly Slows] According to reports, as of the end of last month, OpenAI’s annualized revenue was only $25 billion, a 17% increase compared to the end of last year.

  3. [OpenAI Releases the Most Powerful Professional Model GPT-5.4] Just one day after the faster and more capable GPT-5.3 Instant series was launched, on Thursday, March 5, Eastern Time, OpenAI announced the new flagship base model GPT-5.4, which is now available across ChatGPT, API, and development tools like Codex. OpenAI states that GPT-5.4 is the “most capable and efficient professional frontier model to date,” focusing on enterprise and complex knowledge work scenarios. Compared to previous versions, the biggest upgrade in GPT-5.4 is the enhanced capabilities of AI agents. For the first time in APIs and Codex, GPT-5.4 achieves native “computer operation” functions, supporting intelligent agents to execute complex workflows across software.

  4. [U.S. House of Representatives Rejects Bill Limiting Presidential Power to Launch Military Actions] On March 5, local time, the U.S. House of Representatives voted 219 to 212 to reject a bill that would have required the president to obtain congressional approval before launching further military strikes against Iran.

  5. [Trump Administration Urgently Evaluates Options to Suppress Oil Prices] Currently, the Trump administration is considering options including releasing strategic petroleum reserves (SPR), possibly coordinating with other countries to maximize effect; waiving fuel blending requirements; and direct involvement of the U.S. Department of the Treasury in crude oil futures trading—if implemented, this would be unprecedented.

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