Reflection: Thoughts on Trading Mistakes Caused by Unexpected Events!

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Below is a summary and reflection on some of this week’s wrong trades:
Last week, the main focus was on computing power + electricity, with a logic of price increases.
On Friday, I paid attention to Hangdian Shares, Xianglu Tungsten, Zhangyuan Tungsten, Yunnan Germanium, and Huasheng Tiancheng.
On Monday, due to the sudden outbreak of war themes, funds heavily targeted oil & gas and gold sectors, with oil & gas fermenting most intensely!
So I gradually reduced and canceled attention to some stocks, as the new emerging themes’ sustainability was uncertain. I didn’t plan to participate in the theme’s explosion, but the electricity main line was still ongoing, so I focused on the only electricity secondary board, Fuling Power, as a high-low cut seed, and Shenma Electric Power also followed. The Monday holdings were theoretically reasonable and conservative. If I had firmly held the stance and executed the main line I believed in, this week should have been quite profitable.
For more aggressive operations, afternoon entries into the oil & gas sector were possible, but due to uncertain sustainability, I gave up!
On Tuesday, the war theme further fermented. Oil & gas sector fully fermented. The oil & gas sector was heavily drained, and funds abandoned electricity stocks. The secondary board was full of oil & gas stocks, so I unfollowed Shenma Electric Power and Fuling Power, focusing on the advantage stock Hexun Petroleum (at this time, water-fired gas, Shandong Molong, Junyou Co., Ltd., Jinniu Chemical, Intercontinental Oil & Gas, Petrochemical Oil Services all had one-word buy signals). This was a proper move.
On Wednesday, at market open, Water-fired Gas, Intercontinental Oil & Gas, Shandong Molong, Petrochemical Oil Services opened with one-word signals; Junyou Co. opened at 3.81, below expectations; Jinniu Co. opened at 1.32, below expectations; Yasheng Group opened at 0.21, below expectations; Huasheng Chang opened green, below expectations; Hexun Petroleum opened at 5.94, exceeding expectations! The question is, with most stocks below expectations, can we trade the exceeding ones? I kept watching without action, but a detail was that in the afternoon, large legs represented by Tongyuan Petroleum and Keli Co., Ltd. pulled red, Intercontinental Oil & Gas quickly rebounded, Junyou Co. rebounded, Petrochemical Oil Services rebounded. At this point, Hexun Petroleum was not actively responding and did not give a red plate opportunity, indicating it was purely for arbitrage, not a core focus. I didn’t unfollow or reduce attention that day, intending to wait for a rebound the next day—this was somewhat wishful thinking! The space board reached two levels, a very icy relay state!
On Thursday, the space was high, Water-fired Gas opened at -5.44, Shandong Molong at 1.45, Intercontinental Oil & Gas at -0.24, Petrochemical Oil Services at -2.58, Junyou Co. at -9.98, Hexun Petroleum at -6.43, all below expectations again, leading to the decision to unfollow and exit at noon. Funds clearly flowed back into electricity stocks, triggering smart + and quantum optoelectronics expectations. Since the sustainability was uncertain, I didn’t participate but entered Ganneng Co., Ltd. (betting on electricity stocks’ collective rebound tomorrow, expecting a second wave).
On Friday, electricity stocks rebounded early as expected, but secondary board stocks were not actively promoted, and funds shifted to group buying of Yunnan Energy Control, indicating doubts about the new cycle of electricity. The third board electricity stocks were temporarily seen as a rebound. Today’s first board and the large bullish candle engulfing the bearish candle became the seeds of the new cycle. Today I focused on small metals. The reason is that chemical stocks are the strongest but too dispersed. Small metals have a unique direction and were in a main upward phase before the war theme exploded, with potential for continued strength and crossing.

Reflections:

1. Stick to the main line thinking, don’t be easily disturbed by external environment.
2. This week’s position allocation was unreasonable; the old problem of all-in was repeated.
3. On the first day of new theme explosion, prioritize large-sized sectors.
4. Exceeding expectations became a good tool for quantitative harvesting. Operations should be proactive. Hexun Petroleum’s secondary board was a good entry point; adding positions at the third board was fine. Having a preemptive and profitable operation the next day can be more decisive.
5. With the experience of Hexun Petroleum, on Wednesday, someone mimicked and followed the core button, so the market is actually predictable. Think more, summarize more, and keep growing!

Here, I thank my friends for their trust and tolerance. Life has no rehearsals; every step counts!
Hope that in the future, we can walk more steadily and fight more bravely together!
Of course, no one is perfect. YaShen is not a god, just representing a fighting spirit. We are not martyrs; we aim to be the ultimate success.

Thank you for your support and attention, which have always been my motivation!
Giving roses leaves a lingering fragrance; the pitfalls others have stepped on will become your stepping stones!
Wishing everyone good luck in March, with stocks rising every day!