This situation is really terrible!!

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Look at the chart below. It shows the PRICE OF OIL compared to the OPEN INTEREST VOLUME.

Am I the only one seeing this EXTREMELY high call option volume? It means most traders are buying oil right now. And that’s exactly why this situation is so dangerous. Because when the call option volume hits the HIGHEST IN 10 YEARS while the risk of war continues to rise, it means the market is no longer just “observing” the story. It’s betting on it. Additionally, Trump is saying there will be NO deal without surrender. The market isn’t pricing in a quick handshake or a smooth diplomatic exit. It’s pricing in a longer conflict, a tougher stance, and a much bigger supply shock if this spreads further. And if it spreads, the PRICE OF OIL will not move alone. Metals, bonds are also following. And that money has to come from somewhere.

  • Stocks losing liquidity.
  • Cryptocurrencies losing liquidity.
  • Risks decreasing.
  • Volatility worsening. That’s the part most people overlook. A large oil buy order isn’t just a “energy trade.” It’s a macro gamble that fear, inflation, and war premiums will RISE. And when enough money starts betting the same way at once, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Even a prominent trade tells you about market sentiment. Sky’s co-founder placed a $5.7 million buy order for crude oil at $92. And the market structure around it is getting worse. Record buy options mean traders want exposure to the potential PRICE INCREASE of oil right now. Record war risk means the upside potential could be pursued even more aggressively if bad news hits next. And if oil prices rise again, the damage will spread QUICKLY.
  • Higher oil prices mean higher inflation pressure.
  • Higher inflation pressure means higher yields.
  • Higher yields mean lower liquidity. And low liquidity IS EXACTLY why stocks and cryptocurrencies are starting to plummet. THIS IS A WARNING. Not because oil prices are rising. Because capital is shifting into OIL, GOLD, and other safe assets while the rest of the market is fighting over scraps of liquidity. This is NOT a healthy market. It’s a market beginning to price in fear, timing, and escalation.
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