The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 99.4%.

2026-03-10 23:35:59

Odaily Planet Daily reports from CME “Federal Reserve Watch”: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.6%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.4%. The probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut by April is 13.9%, with an 86.1% chance of holding rates steady, and a 0.1% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut is 37.5%.

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