I've been playing prediction markets every day lately, and I realize I'm still stuck in my own "inertial thinking."

I should really be capturing "asymmetric" information gaps, not just pure "gambling."

I'm literally giving myself the vibes of playing "sports betting" – I make money throughout, then lose it all at the end. That's playing "instant death gambling" rather than "prediction markets."

I think I've turned "gambling" into an order book. What I should be doing is buying low and selling high, not waiting for "events to conclude." I should be eating "mispricings," not "final prices."

P.S.: Don't bet 😭