#加密市场反弹 Bearish divergence established, bulls are favored but pressure is clear

🟢 BTC Bitcoin weekly RSI drops to 25.7, hitting a low not seen since July 2022. A historically extreme oversold signal appears with 4-hour MACD bullish divergence + golden cross. Short-term bullish momentum is sufficient. Key zones:
Strong support: 66,500–67,500
Strong resistance: 69,500–70,000
Structural judgment: The rebound trend is clear, but the 70,000 level remains a watershed between bulls and bears.
🟢
Conclusion: Low-cost long positions are more favorable than high-leverage shorts
Technical overall judgment: Oversold rebound entering a main upward phase, short-term bulls dominate, but there is a need for consolidation at higher levels.
Practical trading suggestions (precise levels + position sizing + risk control)
1. Short-term traders (1–3 days) BTC: Wait for a pullback to 66,500–67,500 and establish low-cost longs with a stop loss at 66,000; take partial profits in stages as it rises to 69,500–70,000.
Reduce position and lock in profits: Only go long on dips, avoid chasing highs, quick in and out.
2. Mid-term holders (1–4 weeks): The trend has not fully reversed; this is a rebound, not a bull reversal.
Position holders: Reduce positions gradually at resistance levels, lower costs.
Cash holders: Wait for a volume breakout above 70,000 before adding positions on the right side.
Position size: Strictly control total exposure within 30%.
3. Risk control strict rules (must be followed): No opening positions without stop-loss, no heavy positions, no high leverage, no all-in; exit immediately if broken; do not hold through losses or average down; only trade with the trend in swing trading; do not gamble on a single-sided market.