Trump si prepara a svelare tariffe reciproche mentre i mercati si preparano a temere la guerra commerciale.

President promises he will be ‘very kind’ but critics warn his strategy risks triggering chain reaction and global trade war
Donald Trump is about to announce a series of reciprocal tariffs, raising concerns in global markets and opposition from some Republican senators. Critics warn that this strategy could trigger a global trade war, with possible retaliation from trading partners such as China, Canada, and the European Union. Trump has promised to be "very nice" to trading partners and argues that these measures are necessary to protect the U.S. economy, claiming that the United States has been "robbed" by other countries.
Some Republican senators, such as Susan Collins and Thom Tillis, oppose tariffs against Canada, considering the possibility of blocking them. Meanwhile, China, South Korea, and Japan have agreed to strengthen free trade among themselves, while Trump is not worried that his actions will drive allies towards Beijing. The White House press secretary announced that tariffs based on countries are expected to be revealed on Wednesday, while also maintaining the intention to impose specific tariffs on sectors.
The uncertainty caused by the announcement of tariffs has shaken the markets, with European and Asian indices closing lower, while the Dow and S&P 500 recorded slight gains. Market nervousness increased after Trump stated that tariffs would affect "all countries." According to the Wall Street Journal, his advisors are considering imposing global tariffs of up to 20% on nearly all U.S. trading partners. This focus on tariffs is fueling recession fears in the U.S., with Goldman Sachs raising the probability of a recession within 12 months from 20% to 35%.
China and Canada have already imposed counter-tariffs on U.S. goods, while the European Union has announced measures that will take effect in mid-April. Kristalina Georgieva from the IMF stated that U.S. tariffs are causing anxiety, but their global economic impact should not be dramatic. Economists predict that the next tariffs will affect 15% of trading partners with persistent trade deficits, a group referred to as the "Dirty 15".
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, stated that Europe should aim for economic independence. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has held talks with Trump about negotiations for a trade agreement between the United Kingdom and the United States, while German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has stated that the EU will respond firmly to Trump. It is "entirely possible" that new tariffs could be reduced or suspended quickly.
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