Tracking real-time hot topics in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Wednesday, December 17, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends☀ hardcore fans check-in👍 like and get rich🍗🍗🌹🌹,

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The three major US stock indices closed mixed: Dow down 0.63%, Nasdaq up 0.23%, S&P 500 down 0.24%. Tesla rose over 3%, hitting a new high since listing. Yesterday, a series of delayed data was released! US non-farm payrolls for November exceeded expectations, but the unemployment rate soared to 4.6%. Non-farm employment in October saw the largest decline in five years, and retail sales unexpectedly stagnated. The market maintains expectations of two rate cuts next year. According to CME “FedWatch”: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, with a 75.6% chance of holding rates steady. The probability of a total 25 basis point cut by March next year is 43.5%, with a 47.5% chance of no change, and a 9.1% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. IYibo will continue to closely monitor key signals such as Fed policy implementation, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, providing real-time updates on layout strategies and target dynamics.

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Bitcoin, after testing the 88131 level in the evening session, has since maintained narrow fluctuations within a small range. The short-term highs and lows have not been effectively broken through. The market’s correction process is not yet complete, and the trend direction is still being tested. From a daily chart perspective, the candlestick is operating near the lower Bollinger Band, with the space gradually opening up. The lower band continues to face downward pressure, probing for a bottom, and the bearish trend is gradually emerging. On the four-hour chart, the three Bollinger Bands are extending downward in sync, clearly showing bearish sentiment. During the evening rebound to near the middle Bollinger Band, it encountered strong resistance and quickly fell back. The middle band has formed a solid resistance level, and short-term rebound momentum has already exhausted. The subsequent layout strategy is clear: rely on the middle band resistance and continue to adopt a strategy of shorting on rallies.

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Ethereum is also consolidating in the 2980-2885 range. On the four-hour chart, the three Bollinger Bands are extending downward in sync, indicating very obvious bearish sentiment. After the evening rebound to near the middle Bollinger Band, it faced resistance and fell again. Short-term rebound momentum is clearly insufficient, indicating that the downward trend will continue. Ethereum’s bearish pattern is more obvious, with rebound momentum lacking. The 3000 level has not shown signs of breakthrough, and market bearish sentiment remains very stable. The subsequent strategy is to short on rebounds.