Surprise. Had a 4-hour meal with @yuyue_chris, turning an I person into an E person, let's have some takeaway.

1. In a bear market, predicting the market is an opportunity. The main players are still Polymarket and Kalshi, along with a few new projects on BSC, which are likely to follow a token issuance logic.

Retail investors can participate by buying some markets with relative betting space. But be aware of the overall market volatility, and try to earn some dynamic returns to prevent being manipulated and harvested by project teams.

Project creators can make good use of prediction markets—first, to see what GTM actions everyone expects; second, to gather community feedback and adjust market strategies in a timely manner. They can even generate topics through the discussion volume on prediction markets.

2. Currently, liquidity/increment within the circle has become quite solidified, and the circulation of existing users is insufficient. It’s worth looking further ahead.

AI is definitely a good direction, but the achievement of solopreneurs requires more diverse dimensions. Merely being proficient with AI tools is not enough, because business components often include many hidden costs, such as distribution channels, resource networks, and even funding. For a one-person company, the requirements are even higher. Also, as mentioned before, with the development of AI, entrepreneurship is becoming more difficult because your ideas are likely to have been done by others. In other words, most ideas tend to be repetitive. AI will make entrepreneurship even harder. However, continuous learning is always the right choice.

3. Most so-called insider trading does not necessarily guarantee profits. Don’t envy KOLs; the key is your own judgment ability and the efficiency of resource absorption.

Disenchant KOLs. Receiving too much information is a double-edged sword. Too much second-hand information circulating behind the scenes can actually impair your judgment. Especially with countless cases of insider information harming those around them, the key is your own ability to judge information. 99% of market participants do not have true insider information; most insider info is just PvP among traders.

4. Focus on building well. Yuyue is still thinking about how to pursue meaningful further education. Wealth is not the end goal. The world is vast, and truly outstanding people never stop moving forward. Your greatest opponent is always yourself.