#BTC / #EUR

Right now, 99% of CT has the same expectation.

It’s so perfectly aligned that it feels like we’re living in a simulation.

I wonder if the current situation is similar to the 2024 halving narrative:

“We’ve never had a new ATH before a halving.”
“The four-year cycle says there must be a drop before the halving, then a new ATH.”
“Sell the news.”

Etc., etc.

We all know how that ended: a brutal new ATH before the halving, and every bear was wiped out.

The same people who were pushing that nonsense are now repeating the exact same script:
•“The bull market is over because of the four-year cycle”
(most of them don’t even understand how the four-year cycle is measured)
•“This is just a relief rally to max 100–105k (daily MA200), then a nuke to new lows”
•“2026 will be a bear market year”
•“There will be no alt season this cycle”

And yet 99% believe this right now.

I just wonder: will MMs really allow every single person on X to short the 100–105k zone, ride it to new lows, and make money in 2026?

All this while:
•alts are trading below 2022 bear-market levels
•BTC dominance is at 60%
•the market has been in Extreme Fear for two months