#数字资产市场洞察 Futures Trading, I have taken too many wrong turns.

Once, the screen was filled with MACD, RSI, and Bollinger Bands, with indicators piled up high. I would operate ten times a day, selling in a hurry when I made a profit and stubbornly holding on when I incurred losses. I stayed up until two or three in the morning staring at the charts, only to find my account shrinking and my health deteriorating.

Later, while chatting with some old traders, I discovered a painful truth - the reason we lose is not because we are not smart, but because we want to win too much. Frequent trading, chasing highs and selling lows, trying to pick bottoms and tops, ultimately led to being killed by our own emotions.

After reflection, I completely changed my mindset. I no longer predict directions, look at those flashy indicators, or trade frequently. Just like that, my win rate stabilized around 95%, and I only need to spend 10 minutes a day checking in.

**The core actually consists of two moving averages**

EMA21 and EMA55, that's all. 21 represents the short-term trend, and 55 represents the medium-term direction. When 21 crosses above 55, enter a long position; when 21 crosses below 55, enter a short position. Don't think about adding a third indicator, that will only make you more confused.

**The 4-hour K-line is the place to take action**

The fluctuations in shorter timeframes are too frequent and can easily be confused by noise. I only look at the 4-hour chart. When the EMA21 crosses above the EMA55 and this candlestick closes bullish, I go long; conversely, I go short. If the market is in a consolidation range, it is better to miss out than to force a trade. Missing an opportunity once is not painful, but a trading mistake can teach you a lesson in real money.

**Stop loss is a lifeline, holding onto a position is seeking death**

My previous habit was to tough it out. I wouldn't cut losses even with a 20% or 30% loss, and my mindset had already collapsed. Now it’s different – I set the stop-loss at the high or low of the previous 4-hour candlestick, and the loss on a single trade does not exceed 5% of my capital. Does it seem very conservative? But it is this conservativeness that has allowed me to survive longer and earn more steadily.

**The logic of increasing positions is very simple**

The initial position uses only 5% of the funds. Once a 5% profit is made, increase the position by another 5%. Continue to add along with the trend until an EMA reversal signal appears. The profits from the bottom position are locked in, while the later added positions enjoy the trend benefits. The entire cycle is fully utilized.

**To be honest, no one can win every trade**

My current mindset is: one or two trades a day is enough. Doing more actually increases the probability of making mistakes. Missing out is much safer than making mistakes. Trust the strategy, execute with discipline, and everything else is just noise.

Instead of exhausting yourself by monitoring the market every day, it's better to let the strategy work for you. This method may not be the fastest way to make money, but it is definitely the most stable.