#以太坊行情解读 Market sentiment continues to be sluggish, with the Crypto Assets Fear and Greed Index remaining at 25. This number indicates that investors' mindset is still quite cautious. Compared to yesterday's 20, although there is a slight rebound, the overall situation is still trapped in the "extreme fear" quagmire.



The macroeconomic situation is a bit complex. The new voting committee of the Federal Reserve has taken a hawkish stance for next year, suggesting that interest rates might be frozen until spring, with inflation still being a major concern for them. Don't expect significant rate cuts in January next year; current data shows that the probability of a 25 basis point cut has fallen to 22.1%. Last week, the US spot Bitcoin ETF experienced net outflows for four consecutive trading days, totaling $497 million, reflecting the cautious attitude of institutions, although the net asset value remains at $114.87 billion.

Looking at the technical aspect again. On the four-hour chart, Bitcoin has been oscillating between the middle and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands. Although it has maintained the four-hour lifeline, the trading volume has not followed during the rebound. The daily chart faces dual pressure around 90500 and 89500, and there are no obvious signs of a breakthrough. Short-term indicators reveal a demand for a rebound, but the daily chart still cannot escape the downward trend.

Current position:
**Bitcoin** support is at 87400, 86800, and 85800, while resistance is at 89500 and 90500.
**Ethereum** support levels are around 2945, 2894, and 2850, with resistance levels at 3050 and 3150.

Around Christmas, market volatility usually amplifies, making it easy to see spikes up and down. If there is a rebound, short-term positions should consider taking profits appropriately and not be too greedy. The key is to control risk and not be intimidated by market fluctuations before the holiday.

$BTC $ETH
ETH2.43%
BTC1.91%
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SellTheBouncevip
· 12h ago
Sell on the rebound, that is the only truth. Institutions are all running away, do you still want to follow the trend and catch a falling knife?
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MetaRecktvip
· 12h ago
It's the same old story again, institutions are cashing out while we suckers are still looking at the Candlestick. --- Panic index at 25? I actually hope it falls to single digits, that would be a real opportunity. --- The Fed has frozen interest rates until spring, how are we supposed to endure this? --- ETH is just fluctuating between 2850 and 3050, not much of interest. --- I hate these days around Christmas, the long wick candle is going to start poking around again. --- Five hundred million flowing out? It indicates that smart money is waiting for lower positions. --- The Bollinger Bands have been grinding for so long, it’s probably gearing up for a big move. --- Just don't be too greedy, I've heard this line a hundred times haha. --- Can the support line at 87400 hold? I think it’s in jeopardy. --- Let's wait and see, the market before and after the holidays is hard to predict, we just have to endure.
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DaoResearchervip
· 12h ago
From the performance of the panic index data, the level of 25 actually reflects the market's fragile equilibrium state. It is worth noting that the institutional net outflow of $497 million did not lead to a collapse of the ETF scale. The incentive mechanism design behind this is indeed interesting; if it holds, it should involve some kind of invisible market maker support.
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RektHuntervip
· 12h ago
The panic index only rose by 5 points, and institutions are dumping. We need to be careful of this long wick candle before the holiday. If 87400 can't break, then it's straight to eat dirt. Let's see if there's a buy the dip opportunity. An index of 25 is truly desperate, but we suckers should be happy; it's time to accumulate at the bottom. The Fed is really something, freezing until spring, with only a 22% chance of a rate cut in January. Where's the favourable information? $497 million has flowed out. Are institutions making room for us retail investors? Hilarious. The volume can't keep up with the rebound; this rebound looks quite fake to me, and I won't follow the trend. It's a gamble to enter now without knowing before Christmas; it's equivalent to suicide. Let's wait until the long wick candle is over to see. Holding 87400, right? If it breaks, it's straight to 86800 with no in-between. I'm keeping an eye on the 2945 level; if it breaks, Ethereum will be back to the countryside. Don't be too greedy; that's a good point. I just cut loss because I was too greedy. The institutions lack motivation, which shows they aren't optimistic about the near term. Let's just continue to lie flat. The suggestion to take profits is brilliant; when the rebound peaks, just dump it. There's no such thing as 'appropriate' here.
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