2025-12-22 05:20:14

#数字资产市场洞察 Recently, the crypto market has seen limited gains. Bitcoin is fluctuating around $88,000, Ethereum is hovering around the $3,000 mark, while TRX's 2.6% rise stands out somewhat.

The policy level has brought a lot of topics for discussion. Lummis has decided not to seek re-election, and the departure of this staunch Bitcoin supporter in Congress has left supporters somewhat regretful. Meanwhile, the advancement of the Indiana bill has avoided bias towards a single coin and focused on protecting miners' rights. The digital euro from the European Central Bank is expected to be launched within three years, prompting a market adjustment in expectations. Vitalik recently praised prediction markets, believing that such mechanisms can counteract the irrational emotions on social media.

The technical ecosystem is also changing. The BNB chain has completed the migration from the old API to Etherscan V2. The Australian exchange CoinJar is entering the US market with the support of an AI assistant, exploring new competitive possibilities.

Looking ahead to the distant future, opinions vary widely. The founder of IOSG bluntly stated that 2024 could be the "worst year". Long-term holders (LTH) recently sold 1.4 million Bitcoins, but they also expect that by 2026, the coin price may break through $150,000. Galaxy analysts are even more aggressive, predicting that by the end of 2027, Bitcoin could reach $250,000. However, the shadow of quantum threats always looms, and it is expected that upgrading the Bitcoin protocol to address such risks will take 5 to 10 years.

On the macroeconomic front, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January has reached 79%, and economic advisor Hassett is optimistic about the potential for future rate cuts. Quantitative easing policies are favorable for high beta assets (, including crypto ), but the real upward momentum still depends on market expectations rather than hard data. Any investment decisions should be made cautiously, as risks are always accompanied by returns.

BTC1.44%

ETH1.6%

TRX-0.03%

BNB1%

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SelfCustodyBro

· 5h ago

The btc card at 88k is really amazing, it feels like they are constantly playing people for suckers. It's a pity that Lummis is gone, but the Indiana bill feels alright this time. 1.4 million btc has been dumped? What do long-term holders think, don't they believe it can reach 150k by 2026? The digital euro is coming... another variable has been added.

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ChainBrain

· 6h ago

TRX is really interesting this time; while others are dozing off, it is charging upwards. Did LTH sell 1.4 million coins? This is a true panic indicator, but then again, they say it can reach 150,000 by 2026. This kind of unpredictability is honestly amusing. It's a pity that Lummis is gone, but the Indiana bill is a good move; at least it hasn't been hijacked by a single coin. $250,000? This guy from Galaxy really dares to say that. The quantum threat will take 5-10 years to resolve, but by then, who will even remember today's price?

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CryptoFortuneTeller

· 6h ago

After such a long period of fluctuation, I still haven't seen any signals for a new high, feeling a bit exhausted. Is LTH dumping 1.4 million coins? What's going on with this wave, has confidence been shaken? It's quite a pity that Lummis left, we're missing a voice. Predictions for 2026 to reach 150,000 and 2027 to reach 250,000, the forecasters are getting bolder. The quantum threat will take another 5 to 10 years to resolve, by then it will be doomed. Is there any movement on the digital euro from the ECB launching in 3 years? AI has entered the US market, and the exchanges are getting involved too. TRX only rose by 2.6% and still got singled out, there's really no favourable information. Rather than listening to predictions, it's better to focus on your own wallet, you understand? The expectation for interest rate cuts is 99%, but encryption is still like this, what does this indicate?

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DecentralizeMe

· 6h ago

Lummis has run away, and there’s no one left in the crypto world in Congress... But looking at the coin price, I guess we can’t expect policies to save the market. LTH dumped 1.4 million? It seems like everyone is betting on 2026, but I don’t have that kind of courage... Wait, TRX actually rose? What does this signal mean, or is it just a simple small coin pump? I quite agree with Vitalik on the prediction market, it’s definitely better than trusting wheat, haha. 5 to 10 years to tackle quantum threats... does that mean we’ll all have to upgrade everything then? Who will bear the cost? The Fed has a 79% chance of not raising interest rates... does that mean there will be a rate cut this year? It feels like this has been talked about a lot lately, but when it comes to the critical moment, there are all sorts of reversals.

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ConsensusBot

· 6h ago

1.4 million Bitcoins get dumped, and LTHs are still dreaming of reaching $150,000 in 2026... I really can't understand this logic. --- Did Vitalik give a thumbs up to the prediction market? It still needs checks and balances; the emotions on social media are too toxic. --- What's so special about TRX rising 2.6%? In a volatile market, no one should be too smug. --- It's indeed a pity that Lummis is withdrawing, but protecting miners through the Indiana bill is the long-term solution. --- Quantum threat upgrading in 5 to 10 years? Feels like by then, we should have already transitioned to the next generation. --- The potential for interest rate cuts looks good, but with the Fed's high probability of maintaining rates in January, we still have to hang in there in the short term. --- ECB to launch digital euro in 3 years... I just want to know if this will be the next regulatory hotspot. --- CoinJar entering the U.S. with AI? Exchanges are all jumping on the AI bandwagon; we need to see if it’s really usable or just an IQ tax. --- $250,000 Bitcoin? What basis does Galaxy's prediction rest on? It can't be another bull run fantasy, can it?

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DegenDreamer

· 6h ago

It's a pity that Lummis has left, but this wave of the Indiana bill is still quite balanced in thinking. Bitcoin being sideways is fine, anyway I'm just waiting for that day of $250,000 haha. TRX rising 2.6%? Please, is this small increase even worth mentioning? Quantum threats will take 5 to 10 years to upgrade... when will this really happen? We need to take a good look at the prediction market's approval of this matter. Vitalik hasn't gone wrong with the right things yet. When 1.4 million coins were sold, I was definitely asleep, and by the time I woke up, they were all gone. The real key is still the market expectations; this statement hits the nail on the head. That broken data thing has fooled me too many times.

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