#大户持仓动态 1 hour market data observation: long positions are building up.

After watching the market data for so long, the 1-hour level trend is becoming increasingly interesting. The price is repeatedly testing between the EMA dense zone and the BOLL middle track, with both long positions and shorts closely confronting each other at key positions—this kind of suppression often signals a breakout in the market.

Several technical details cannot be overlooked:

Although the MACD is consolidating near the zero axis, the fast and slow lines have already formed two golden crosses below water, and the bearish downward momentum bars have significantly shrunk, indicating that the bears are losing their endurance; the 4-hour MA30 has formed a resonance support with the current price, and buy orders on the exchange are also accumulating; the BOLL bands have tightened to the highest level recently, and according to historical patterns, such a squeeze typically results in a one-sided market movement exceeding 3%.

The signals on the chain are also quite persuasive. The net outflow of BTC balances from the exchange has exceeded 12,000 coins for three consecutive days, indicating that large holders are quietly withdrawing their coins; there have been 8 new addresses holding over 1000 coins this week, suggesting that smart money is building positions at the current level. The funding rate for perpetual contracts has returned to neutral, and the focus of leveraged liquidations has shifted to the upward pressure zone, making it easier to trigger a chain reaction once a breakout occurs.

In terms of news catalysts, the speeches of Federal Reserve officials today may become a turning point. If they are dovish, combined with the significant accumulation of call options at the $72,000 level in the current options market, the main players have ample reason to push upwards.

My thought is: the current fluctuation is a typical accumulation pattern. You can gradually build long positions in the range of 1-hour EMA7 and the lower Bollinger Band, with a stop loss set 300 points below the recent low. The first target is the previous high resistance area; if it breaks through, it will accelerate towards the $71,000-$73,000 region. Market sentiment has shifted from extreme fear to early greed; don't wait until everyone is shouting to go long—real opportunities belong to those who decisively act in silence.