Eight years ago, I was a mess in the crypto market, using all kinds of complex indicators—RSI, Bollinger Bands, MACD, you name it. And the result? Frequent trading, momentum investing, and my account kept shrinking. Until one day, cornered, I realized an important principle: instead of gambling on those elusive predictions, it's better to find a truly useful tool.

So I made a bold decision: to remove all the flashy things from the chart and leave only a 30-day moving average.

Why this line? Simply put, the 30-day moving average represents the average cost of the market over the past month. When the current price is above the 30-day moving average, it indicates that most of the recent buyers are making a profit, and market sentiment is improving; once it falls below this line, the meaning is clear - the situation has cooled down. This is a judgment standard that is simple to the point of being rudimentary, but it is precisely this simplicity that has allowed me to climb out of the debt quagmire in eight years, with my account growing from zero to eight figures.

Many people scoff at this method when they hear about it, thinking it is too primitive and outdated. However, in the practical world of the crypto market, I have found that the majority of people's failures stem precisely from their attempts to grasp too much. Those complex combinations of indicators and advanced technical analysis frameworks ultimately became a pretext for impulsive trading. As for me, I rely on this one line to find a sense of rhythm amid the market fluctuations.

The beauty of the 30-day moving average lies in its stability, as it is not easily disturbed by short-term noise. When leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum fluctuate around the moving average, I know the market is still in a dilemma; once it breaks upward and stabilizes, that is a signal of a shift in trend. The opposite is also true. Based on this logic, I have established my own trading discipline—never taking risks without clear moving average signals.

Over the years of struggling in the crypto market, I have seen too many people getting dizzy with new coins, new technologies, and new narratives. They chase the hype, sweat it out, but in the end, they are left empty-handed. My experience is that the ones who truly make money are often not the smartest, but those who can stick to their discipline. A moving average, a set of rules, a bit of patience can sometimes be more effective than ten trading books.