Recently, while watching the market data, I suddenly discovered an interesting pattern—whenever the market truly bottoms out, the ratio of BTC to gold tends to hit a stage low simultaneously. In this wave of market movement, this phenomenon has surfaced once again.



First, the conclusion: the current price of gold seems a bit inflated, looking like a balloon that has been blown up; on the other hand, Bitcoin appears to be a severely suppressed spring, hiding undervalued potential.

History can explain the issue. During the collapse of Luna in 2022, BTC's RSI directly broke through 30, and then the market began to rebound and find its bottom. In the most dangerous phase of the 2018 bear market, when RSI was <30, it still accurately hit the bottom of that phase. Going back to 2015, the same story played out again. These are not coincidences, but rather a true reflection of the market.

Now the more interesting part comes - on the daily level, BTC shows a bullish divergence against gold. How important is this signal? Remember one thing: divergences usually only appear at market tops or bottoms. A divergence at a low level indicates that the market is hinting at a turning point - funds are quietly reallocating, and the groundwork for the next wave of market movement has already been laid below.

Looking at it from a different angle: while most people are still discussing how much gold can rise, the real opportunity is already brewing on the BTC side. Divergence appears at low levels, indicating that capital may have already begun to shift, and the short-term upward space is being slowly pried open.

The market never announces its ups and downs in advance, but data always reveals some clues. How strong is the solidity of this wave of signals? I would like to hear everyone's thoughts.
BTC0.12%
LUNA-5.13%
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ForkTonguevip
· 8h ago
I believe in deviating from this thing, but it's still too early to say it's at the bottom... There have been many instances when historical patterns have failed.
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SignatureVerifiervip
· 8h ago
honestly the RSI <30 pattern hits different when you actually backtest it rigorously... but lemme just say, correlation ≠ causation and we've all seen "historical precedent" get demolished in like 48hrs, no?
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