Each Candlestick carries the Consensus of market participants, and the coins in hand are a ballot for the future. There are no fixed stands in this market; every Wallet is driving this transformation.

Indeed, no one can be 100% accurate. Some are good at holding and waiting, while others decisively cut losses. It is actually difficult to distinguish between winning and losing; the key is whether one can maintain a sufficiently high win rate and stay grounded in the market.

Taking myself as an example, today's overall layout is two long positions of Bitcoin paired with one short position, and Ethereum is also deployed with the same idea. Currently, the position yield is pretty good, and I will continue to share my trading thoughts in the future.

Looking at the current technical situation of the market - on the four-hour level, after the price broke through the upper Bollinger Band with five consecutive bullish candles, the bullish momentum has clearly weakened, followed by a pullback after a high. From a pattern perspective, a signal of reaching a peak and pulling back has already emerged, and the intention for a technical adjustment is very clear.

Switching to the one-hour chart, after a continuous rise, the market has experienced two consecutive bearish candles, with the price falling back below the upper Bollinger Band. More importantly, the MACD volume bars are decreasing, and the three lines of KDJ and RSI have formed a death cross and are expanding downwards. Multiple technical indicators are resonating downwards simultaneously.

Based on these signals, my suggestion is to maintain a bearish outlook. Specifically:

**Bitcoin** can seek shorting opportunities around 90000-90500, with a target looking towards 88500.

**Ethereum** can be shorted around 3060-3080, with a target below at 2980.

The market rhythm is changing, and patiently waiting for good entry points will be crucial.