#数字资产市场洞察 December 23 Can these two positions be seized?
The two key support levels for Ethereum were finalized after running the algorithm 72 times. This process was not arbitrary—I've incorporated candlestick patterns, volume performance, and funding pressure. Only with such a drop coupled with rebound support does it align with the liquidation logic on the leverage side.
The hit probability given by the machine model is 78%. To be honest, I was a bit shocked when I saw this number.
What if it really hits? Based on all the information from the recent market, we can basically assert one thing: as long as we don't blindly authorize APIs and aren't subject to reverse calculation arbitrage, the entire strategy framework stands in a position of relatively high win rate.
What does "higher win rate" actually mean?
In simple terms: small losses and small profits alternate, with occasional decent profits, but it is hard to encounter a situation like a liquidation. Achieving monthly returns is basically not a problem.
Of course, the premise is to adhere to the operational discipline 😄
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RugpullTherapist
· 12-22 19:28
72 times? Dude, are you serious? But a 78% probability always sounds a bit mystical...
The liquidation logic is sound, but I'm just afraid it might end up being counter-calculated; at that point, no matter how sophisticated the model is, it won't save you.
It's easy to talk about discipline, but when that moment comes, everyone wants to go all in; that's the biggest enemy.
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MevWhisperer
· 12-22 19:28
72 times? Dude, are you serious or just showing off data? Why do I feel like this 78% probability can always be pulled out...
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OneBlockAtATime
· 12-22 19:13
72 times? Brother, are you writing a thesis or trading, haha?
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ParallelChainMaxi
· 12-22 19:12
72 times? Dude, are you really treating the model like a deity? A 78% hit rate sounds impressive, but I still want to see actual trading data to back it up.
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FantasyGuardian
· 12-22 19:10
72 times? Dude, how boring must that be, but a 78% hit rate is indeed something, just afraid of being countered by an arbitrage that would break the defense.
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BearMarketSurvivor
· 12-22 19:09
72 times? You really treat the model like a Buddha, 78% probability sounds quite impressive, but once the leverage gets liquidated, the probability turns into a negative number.
#数字资产市场洞察 December 23 Can these two positions be seized?
The two key support levels for Ethereum were finalized after running the algorithm 72 times. This process was not arbitrary—I've incorporated candlestick patterns, volume performance, and funding pressure. Only with such a drop coupled with rebound support does it align with the liquidation logic on the leverage side.
The hit probability given by the machine model is 78%. To be honest, I was a bit shocked when I saw this number.
What if it really hits? Based on all the information from the recent market, we can basically assert one thing: as long as we don't blindly authorize APIs and aren't subject to reverse calculation arbitrage, the entire strategy framework stands in a position of relatively high win rate.
What does "higher win rate" actually mean?
In simple terms: small losses and small profits alternate, with occasional decent profits, but it is hard to encounter a situation like a liquidation. Achieving monthly returns is basically not a problem.
Of course, the premise is to adhere to the operational discipline 😄